1 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:13,000 We have an ID on this one? 2 00:01:13,300 --> 00:01:14,800 Mark Herlan, 39. 3 00:01:15,300 --> 00:01:17,700 A single medium-caliber rifle round to the chest. 4 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:33,400 Any witnesses? 5 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:35,800 Lady gardening,mom with her kid. 6 00:01:36,100 --> 00:01:37,100 Neither one heard the shot. 7 00:01:37,700 --> 00:01:39,800 I'm pulling some uniforms to canvass the neighborhood, 8 00:01:39,900 --> 00:01:42,100 to see if we can get a lock on where the shot came from. 9 00:01:43,500 --> 00:01:44,800 I don't think that's going to be necessary. 10 00:01:45,600 --> 00:01:46,200 These numbers... 11 00:01:46,300 --> 00:01:47,800 size of the wound,angle of entry, 12 00:01:48,400 --> 00:01:49,700 position of the body... 13 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:51,400 they already tell you what you need to know. 14 00:01:52,000 --> 00:01:54,100 See, ballistic trajectories are fundamentally simple. 15 00:01:54,700 --> 00:01:56,500 They're the result of only two physical forces: 16 00:01:56,600 --> 00:01:58,400 vertical and horizontal velocity. 17 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:00,400 Calculating trajectories with precision 18 00:02:00,700 --> 00:02:02,800 requires taking into account many variables: 19 00:02:03,500 --> 00:02:04,600 wind speed and direction, 20 00:02:05,100 --> 00:02:07,300 atmospheric pressure,temperature, humidity, 21 00:02:07,500 --> 00:02:10,300 inclination of gun,density of the projectile. 22 00:02:17,200 --> 00:02:21,900 So I've done some rough calculations of trajectory models based on the bullet's angle of impact, 23 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:22,900 wind speed and direction. 24 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:26,600 I approximate that our sniper fired from right around here. 25 00:02:26,700 --> 00:02:28,100 - This spot here. See? - Uh-huh. 26 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:30,300 Actually, it was more like here. 27 00:02:32,900 --> 00:02:34,200 Ah, Agent Edgerton. 28 00:02:34,600 --> 00:02:35,300 Bureau told you I was coming? 29 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:36,800 Yeah. I'm the one who requested you. 30 00:02:36,900 --> 00:02:37,600 Thanks for coming. 31 00:02:38,700 --> 00:02:40,200 He's a sniper instructor from Quantico. 32 00:02:44,700 --> 00:02:45,900 Needed a different perspective. 33 00:02:48,700 --> 00:02:50,700 What makes you think he fired from your location? 34 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:53,500 Well, your location assumes he's a good shot. 35 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:55,700 I say he's just an okay shot who got lucky. 36 00:02:57,000 --> 00:02:59,800 What kind of empirical evidence are you basing that assumption on? 37 00:03:01,900 --> 00:03:02,600 300-yard plink, 38 00:03:02,700 --> 00:03:04,700 and he goes for center mass,torso shot. 39 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:06,800 Good sniper bothers to get this close, 40 00:03:06,900 --> 00:03:09,100 it's to spread a man's brains across the sidewalk. 41 00:03:11,900 --> 00:03:13,100 Oh, yeah, and,uh, 42 00:03:18,700 --> 00:03:19,600 This waffling in the dirt? 43 00:03:19,700 --> 00:03:21,600 Right. Like he used something for support, right? 44 00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:23,700 Yeah, I'm thinking a duffel or his jacket. 45 00:03:24,900 --> 00:03:26,100 But yours was a good guess, too. 46 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:28,000 Wasn't a guess;it was more of an estimate. 47 00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:28,800 Anything else? 48 00:03:29,500 --> 00:03:30,500 Yeah, he's gonna do it again. 49 00:03:32,700 --> 00:03:33,400 How do you know that? 50 00:03:34,400 --> 00:03:35,300 Thing about snipers? 51 00:03:35,900 --> 00:03:36,500 We love it. 52 00:03:37,600 --> 00:03:39,500 And that's not a guess, either;it's a fact. 53 00:03:45,200 --> 00:03:46,700 We all use math every day... 54 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:48,800 to predict weather... 55 00:03:50,700 --> 00:03:51,500 to tell time... 56 00:03:53,400 --> 00:03:54,200 to handle money... 57 00:03:55,900 --> 00:03:58,400 Math is more than formulas and equations... 58 00:04:00,200 --> 00:04:01,200 It's logic... 59 00:04:03,300 --> 00:04:04,200 It's rationality... 60 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:07,000 It's using your mind, 61 00:04:07,100 --> 00:04:09,400 to solve the biggest mysteries we know. 62 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:20,100 Ok, let me have your attention please. Listen up... 63 00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:24,100 LAPD is running a parallel task force with full information sharing. 64 00:04:24,200 --> 00:04:26,200 So no theory goes unchecked, right? 65 00:04:26,300 --> 00:04:27,400 No tip ignored. 66 00:04:27,900 --> 00:04:28,700 Four killings... 67 00:04:28,900 --> 00:04:29,700 What they have in common: 68 00:04:29,900 --> 00:04:34,100 single shots fired from mid-caliber rifles at a distance of 200 yards or greater. 69 00:04:34,400 --> 00:04:36,100 What they don't have in common are the victims. 70 00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:38,600 We have a real-estate broker,a housewife, 71 00:04:38,700 --> 00:04:40,400 a high school student and a mailman. 72 00:04:40,700 --> 00:04:41,900 Now the locations vary, 73 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:43,300 the times of day vary. 74 00:04:43,900 --> 00:04:47,100 - Every... - Ballistics confirms that the four bullets came from four different rifles. 75 00:04:47,200 --> 00:04:48,500 Four shots, four kills... 76 00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:51,100 that kind of skill suggests a possible military background. 77 00:04:51,400 --> 00:04:54,400 What it suggests is that he knows his limitations enough to remain within them. 78 00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:57,200 This is Special Agent Edgerton from Quantico, 79 00:04:57,300 --> 00:05:00,100 and he doesn't think our shooter is especially skilled. 80 00:05:01,400 --> 00:05:04,800 Your housewife there caught a 7.62 x 39 round. 81 00:05:05,300 --> 00:05:08,900 He could've found a Russian SKS to do that job for less than a hundred bucks. 82 00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:11,400 Or maybe he's using a Blaser R93; 83 00:05:11,500 --> 00:05:15,000 that particular weapon has interchangeable barrels in 17 different calibers. 84 00:05:15,300 --> 00:05:16,900 So he could be swapping barrels after every kill, 85 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:18,800 which would change the ballistic fingerprint, right? 86 00:05:19,300 --> 00:05:22,000 Be a pretty cheap way to avoid being linked to all of your murders. 87 00:05:22,500 --> 00:05:24,700 LAPD canvass turned up a FedEx driver. 88 00:05:24,900 --> 00:05:27,900 He remembers seeing a green Jeep parked in the field around the time of the shooting. 89 00:05:29,400 --> 00:05:31,500 Apparently there's large performance differentials 90 00:05:31,600 --> 00:05:34,700 between same-caliber bullets from different manufacturers. 91 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:35,900 Based on what? 92 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:38,900 Lead composition,gunpowder packing... 93 00:05:39,300 --> 00:05:40,800 Just what I need:more variables. 94 00:05:43,300 --> 00:05:44,000 Oh... 95 00:05:44,100 --> 00:05:48,000 Some assistance in my brazen attack on the Lorenz invariance? 96 00:05:48,200 --> 00:05:49,900 No, drag coefficient models. 97 00:05:50,200 --> 00:05:52,100 Drag co... drag on what? 98 00:05:52,800 --> 00:05:53,400 Bullets. 99 00:05:54,600 --> 00:05:57,900 Bullets as in ballistic trajectories defined by the Einstein Equivalence Principle, 100 00:05:58,000 --> 00:06:00,000 related to the Lorenz frame? 101 00:06:00,700 --> 00:06:03,100 As in, bullets that kill people. 102 00:06:03,400 --> 00:06:04,000 Oh. 103 00:06:04,300 --> 00:06:08,300 There seems to be some disagreements over the sniper's expertise. 104 00:06:08,900 --> 00:06:11,000 I'd say the public's decided on the question. 105 00:06:11,400 --> 00:06:13,300 I have an aunt who lives two blocks from the first shooting. 106 00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:15,100 She's afraid to go out on her front lawn now. 107 00:06:15,500 --> 00:06:19,500 Why don't you tell your aunt that statistically she has a better chance of being mauled by a bear. 108 00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:22,500 Actually,statistics would favor the bear being mauled by my aunt, but... 109 00:06:23,900 --> 00:06:27,000 This fear, this extends beyond the reach of statistics,Charles. 110 00:06:28,700 --> 00:06:32,600 No, this is about arbitrary,inescapable death. 111 00:06:33,500 --> 00:06:34,600 No, times like these, 112 00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:38,800 you just wind up speculating on paths not taken, 113 00:06:38,900 --> 00:06:40,100 jobs left undone. 114 00:06:40,300 --> 00:06:41,000 Larry, I... 115 00:06:41,800 --> 00:06:43,700 I'm trying to get those equations done for you 116 00:06:43,800 --> 00:06:44,900 - as soon as I can... - No, no, no. 117 00:06:45,000 --> 00:06:48,700 At that moment,I was actually thinking of a far more prosaic legacy. 118 00:06:49,900 --> 00:06:51,900 Someone to carry on the Fleinhardt standard. 119 00:06:55,100 --> 00:06:56,700 I didn't know you wanted kids, Larry. 120 00:06:57,800 --> 00:07:01,100 Well... children are wormholes. 121 00:07:01,800 --> 00:07:03,000 Wormholes? 122 00:07:03,300 --> 00:07:03,800 Yeah. 123 00:07:04,400 --> 00:07:09,000 They're portals into the unreachable future and unattainable past. 124 00:07:10,100 --> 00:07:11,300 No, as things stand now, 125 00:07:11,400 --> 00:07:13,800 they exist only in the theoretical realm, so... 126 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:18,900 Well, I can see where you might have some trouble selling a woman on the idea of "carrying your wormhole. " 127 00:07:22,500 --> 00:07:25,600 I accessed traffic cameras for a ten-block radius where the mailman got hit. 128 00:07:25,700 --> 00:07:26,700 - Good. - Found this. 129 00:07:28,300 --> 00:07:29,000 Take a look. 130 00:07:30,200 --> 00:07:32,600 Jeep is registered to one Wayne Osborne. 131 00:07:32,700 --> 00:07:33,900 Rap sheet goes back to Idaho. 132 00:07:34,200 --> 00:07:36,600 Assault, drug possession,weapons violations. 133 00:07:37,000 --> 00:07:37,800 Yeah, check this out. 134 00:07:38,000 --> 00:07:40,600 Affiliations with the Green Lightning white supremacist group. 135 00:07:40,700 --> 00:07:43,400 They're on the ATF watch list for illegal arms dealings. 136 00:07:43,500 --> 00:07:45,400 Yeah, Mr. Osbourne sounds like a good candidate. 137 00:07:49,500 --> 00:07:50,300 FBI! Warrant! 138 00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:51,900 FBI! 139 00:07:52,000 --> 00:07:52,900 Hands on the table! 140 00:07:53,000 --> 00:07:55,700 FBI! 141 00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:56,900 Hands on the table! 142 00:07:58,100 --> 00:07:58,600 Clear! 143 00:07:59,300 --> 00:07:59,900 Clear back here. 144 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:01,100 - Clear here! - He's not here, Don. 145 00:08:02,100 --> 00:08:03,100 All right, where's Osborne? 146 00:08:03,500 --> 00:08:04,700 - Out. - Out where? 147 00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:06,000 Some friends. I don't know. 148 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:07,000 Look, let me tell you something. 149 00:08:07,100 --> 00:08:09,000 If you don't want to face the death penalty with your boyfriend, 150 00:08:09,100 --> 00:08:10,900 you better think harder and think fast. 151 00:08:11,500 --> 00:08:12,800 He took my pick-up about two hours ago. 152 00:08:12,900 --> 00:08:14,500 But I swear,I don't know where he went. 153 00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:16,400 - What color's the pick-up? - It's blue. 154 00:08:16,900 --> 00:08:17,500 Get the plates. 155 00:08:17,600 --> 00:08:19,300 Notify LAPD and every agency. 156 00:08:19,600 --> 00:08:21,400 My guess is he's out there trolling for more victims. 157 00:08:21,800 --> 00:08:23,400 Don. Take a look. 158 00:08:30,200 --> 00:08:30,800 Oh, yeah. 159 00:08:40,200 --> 00:08:42,700 You know, Stan Carter's working for the LA Parks Department now. 160 00:08:43,000 --> 00:08:43,800 Oh, yeah, I remember him. 161 00:08:43,900 --> 00:08:44,900 Stan. Stan the Man. 162 00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:47,200 He used to work with you on the city planning board, right? 163 00:08:47,300 --> 00:08:48,000 - Yeah. - Yeah. 164 00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:50,200 He's looking for a part-time consultant. 165 00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:52,800 And since you two are in and out all the time, 166 00:08:52,900 --> 00:08:53,700 I figured I... 167 00:08:54,100 --> 00:08:54,900 Hold on a second. 168 00:08:56,700 --> 00:08:57,200 Hello? 169 00:08:59,900 --> 00:09:00,500 Okay. 170 00:09:00,600 --> 00:09:01,300 All right, yeah. 171 00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:02,500 I'll be right there. 172 00:09:02,600 --> 00:09:03,200 Sure. 173 00:09:04,500 --> 00:09:06,100 They're pretty sure it's the sniper again. 174 00:09:06,500 --> 00:09:08,600 David's picking me up out front on the way to the scene. 175 00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:10,100 The scene? What scene? 176 00:09:11,000 --> 00:09:11,800 You mean the crime scene? 177 00:09:13,300 --> 00:09:16,000 Exposure to actual events helps my statistical modeling. 178 00:09:16,100 --> 00:09:18,000 I know, but it's the exposure that I'm worried about. 179 00:09:18,500 --> 00:09:20,400 Come on, there's a crazy guy out there still shooting people. 180 00:09:20,500 --> 00:09:22,100 Now what if he returns to the scene of the crime, 181 00:09:22,200 --> 00:09:24,200 - you know, like those arsonists do? - He hasn't. 182 00:09:24,300 --> 00:09:25,100 No, not yet. 183 00:09:25,700 --> 00:09:29,800 Dad, there are a dozen FBI agents and police officers at these scenes. 184 00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:32,600 I mean, if I were in any real danger, 185 00:09:33,700 --> 00:09:34,700 Don wouldn't let me go. 186 00:09:34,900 --> 00:09:35,600 You know that. 187 00:09:37,200 --> 00:09:37,800 Don't worry. 188 00:09:48,600 --> 00:09:51,000 Felt like someone hit me in the shoulder with a hammer. 189 00:09:51,500 --> 00:09:52,700 Then Steve saw the blood, 190 00:09:52,800 --> 00:09:54,300 and everyone started screaming. 191 00:09:54,800 --> 00:09:56,500 Neither one of you saw where the shot came from? 192 00:09:58,300 --> 00:10:00,600 Do you remember seeing a blue pick-up at any point? 193 00:10:01,000 --> 00:10:02,300 I'm sorry, I... 194 00:10:02,900 --> 00:10:05,300 There must have been 50 people coming out of the theater. 195 00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:07,200 - Why me? - It's okay. 196 00:10:07,800 --> 00:10:08,400 You're going to be okay. 197 00:10:09,700 --> 00:10:10,200 Thank you. 198 00:10:12,900 --> 00:10:13,700 She's right. 199 00:10:13,900 --> 00:10:14,400 Why her? 200 00:10:15,900 --> 00:10:17,900 Maybe Osborne's playing out a power trip, 201 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:19,800 choosing his victims arbitrarily. 202 00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:21,400 Maybe it's a political statement. 203 00:10:21,600 --> 00:10:24,600 No, domestic terrorism usually involves a public statement. 204 00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:26,300 He has been conspicuously silent. 205 00:10:26,400 --> 00:10:28,000 Yeah, I don't think he's gonna stay silent. 206 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:28,900 Come on. 207 00:10:41,300 --> 00:10:42,200 Hello there, Professor. 208 00:10:42,900 --> 00:10:44,200 Still figuring the angles? 209 00:10:44,900 --> 00:10:46,800 What I'm figuring is the reason why he missed. 210 00:10:47,500 --> 00:10:49,200 This shot is way closer than any of the others. 211 00:10:50,500 --> 00:10:51,800 Well, closer doesn't mean easier. 212 00:10:51,900 --> 00:10:54,100 He ran a higher risk of being seen here. 213 00:10:54,500 --> 00:10:56,500 Well, that wouldn't affect the shot itself, though, would it? 214 00:10:59,100 --> 00:11:00,400 Forget about the math for a second. 215 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:03,100 Just look. 216 00:11:09,900 --> 00:11:11,100 Try to think like he does. 217 00:11:12,000 --> 00:11:14,300 Invisibility is a sniper's greatest strength. 218 00:11:16,100 --> 00:11:17,600 If he starts to worry about losing it, 219 00:11:17,900 --> 00:11:19,100 his heart rate increases. 220 00:11:19,900 --> 00:11:21,000 If he doesn't know how to handle it, 221 00:11:21,700 --> 00:11:23,000 his breathing rhythm gets thrown off. 222 00:11:24,000 --> 00:11:24,700 Breathing rhythm? 223 00:11:28,000 --> 00:11:29,100 You've really never fired a gun? 224 00:11:32,400 --> 00:11:33,400 I don't really believe in them. 225 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:35,400 Believe in them?It's not like they're ghosts. 226 00:11:35,700 --> 00:11:37,000 Obviously,that's not what I meant. 227 00:11:37,300 --> 00:11:43,000 So you don't take into account sweat getting into his eyes or his hands cramping up or adrenaline twitching the barrel? 228 00:11:44,900 --> 00:11:48,700 That's the difference between an expert marksman and a guy who aims at white meat and goes home with a wing. 229 00:11:48,800 --> 00:11:50,200 A woman got shot today... 230 00:11:51,300 --> 00:11:53,000 not some animal. 231 00:11:54,100 --> 00:11:57,100 I see. So when I regard her as a technical problem, 232 00:11:57,200 --> 00:11:57,900 I'm a sick bastard, 233 00:11:58,100 --> 00:11:59,100 but when you plug her in to an equation, 234 00:11:59,200 --> 00:12:00,000 you're a scientist? 235 00:12:00,100 --> 00:12:02,200 It just seems like it's all some kind of sport to you. 236 00:12:04,000 --> 00:12:06,500 It's my job to put my head inside the mind of a killer. 237 00:12:08,500 --> 00:12:09,200 Your brother's, too. 238 00:12:15,100 --> 00:12:15,800 You coming? 239 00:12:22,800 --> 00:12:25,200 The pattern of these shootings doesn't work with my existing equations. 240 00:12:25,300 --> 00:12:26,600 - So change the equations. - You know, 241 00:12:26,700 --> 00:12:28,500 I'm starting to think my whole approach is wrong, 242 00:12:28,700 --> 00:12:29,700 like there's a design in there somewhere 243 00:12:29,800 --> 00:12:31,400 but not usually where we look for it. 244 00:12:34,800 --> 00:12:35,400 Hey. 245 00:12:36,600 --> 00:12:37,800 Don just picked up Osborne. 246 00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:39,400 - Where? - Los Feliz. 247 00:12:39,700 --> 00:12:40,300 What about a weapon? 248 00:12:40,600 --> 00:12:43,300 Preliminary ballistics matches his rifle to the mailman's slaying. 249 00:12:44,500 --> 00:12:46,500 - Doesn't fit, though. - What's wrong? 250 00:12:46,600 --> 00:12:48,500 Osborne spent the entire afternoon in a bar. 251 00:12:48,900 --> 00:12:49,500 A dozen witnesses. 252 00:12:50,000 --> 00:12:50,700 Well, that's not possible, 253 00:12:50,800 --> 00:12:53,200 because this happened, like,less than three hours ago. 254 00:12:53,300 --> 00:12:55,000 Unless Osborne isn't the shooter. 255 00:12:55,800 --> 00:12:56,800 We've got two snipers. 256 00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:10,900 I don't recognize the authority of the federal government. 257 00:13:11,000 --> 00:13:13,000 Well, the federal government sure recognizes you. 258 00:13:13,100 --> 00:13:15,000 We have you cold for the murder of Mark Herlan. 259 00:13:15,600 --> 00:13:18,200 Ballistics, tire tracks,foot molds. 260 00:13:18,300 --> 00:13:23,300 Herlan was a slave of the federal welfare system disguised as civil service. 261 00:13:23,600 --> 00:13:24,400 Whatever happened to him, 262 00:13:25,300 --> 00:13:26,700 whoever killed him, 263 00:13:27,200 --> 00:13:29,200 they were doing society a favor. 264 00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:31,900 The new girlfriend in your trailer filled us in. 265 00:13:32,300 --> 00:13:34,600 You shot Herlan because he was about to marry your ex. 266 00:13:34,700 --> 00:13:36,300 Don't... move. 267 00:13:36,900 --> 00:13:38,300 This was a personal killing for you. 268 00:13:38,600 --> 00:13:39,500 You wanted revenge. 269 00:13:40,200 --> 00:13:41,400 You know,it was almost clever. 270 00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:44,000 Your buddies in Green Lightning start a terror campaign, 271 00:13:44,100 --> 00:13:45,400 shooting people at random... 272 00:13:45,600 --> 00:13:46,700 you decide to piggyback. 273 00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:50,500 You think the Green Lightning is behind these shootings? 274 00:13:50,700 --> 00:13:52,100 When we start bringing your pals in, 275 00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:55,300 we think it's gonna be a race to see who can cut a deal the fastest. 276 00:13:55,800 --> 00:13:56,800 You're first man in, Wayne. 277 00:13:57,500 --> 00:13:59,300 My advice would be to take advantage of it. 278 00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:02,000 An act of terrorism carries a federal death penalty. 279 00:14:02,700 --> 00:14:04,300 Or maybe you haven't heard of Timothy McVeigh. 280 00:14:05,100 --> 00:14:07,700 You know... you people... 281 00:14:08,700 --> 00:14:11,100 you really have to start talking to each other. 282 00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:25,500 Osborne's been an ATF informant against his supremacist buddies for over six months. 283 00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:28,700 Well, thanks, ATF,for the information sharing, 284 00:14:28,800 --> 00:14:30,600 and there goes our conspiracy theory. 285 00:14:30,700 --> 00:14:32,400 He also has an alibi for every other shooting. 286 00:14:32,800 --> 00:14:33,400 I'll go tell Charlie. 287 00:14:33,700 --> 00:14:36,100 I mean, maybe he can find the pattern if he gets rid of the Osborne shooting. 288 00:14:41,700 --> 00:14:45,900 You know, I have had almost no attendance at my morning classes. 289 00:14:47,700 --> 00:14:49,800 It's like everyone's afraid to set foot outside. 290 00:14:50,600 --> 00:14:51,300 Not everybody. 291 00:14:53,100 --> 00:14:55,600 Yeah. In times like these, 292 00:14:57,100 --> 00:14:59,000 an empty house is not a home. 293 00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:06,700 Evaluating my immediate prospects for a conventional nuclear family, 294 00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:08,800 I've just now begun to consider adoption. 295 00:15:08,900 --> 00:15:11,700 - How long have you been considering it? - Three days. 296 00:15:12,100 --> 00:15:13,100 Give it a few more days. 297 00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:15,700 - Yeah. - Yeah. 298 00:15:17,100 --> 00:15:19,100 So what, you found a pattern yet? 299 00:15:20,100 --> 00:15:21,900 More like a pattern of patternlessness. 300 00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:24,400 Hey, there's an interesting metaphysical notion. 301 00:15:25,800 --> 00:15:29,100 Well, perhaps a human element remains to be inserted. 302 00:15:30,100 --> 00:15:31,400 You sound like this, uh, 303 00:15:32,100 --> 00:15:33,900 Agent Edgerton guy. 304 00:15:34,300 --> 00:15:36,800 He's a sniper instructor that Don brought in from Quantico... 305 00:15:36,900 --> 00:15:38,500 he thinks I should be out shooting rifles. 306 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:39,700 Well, why aren't you? 307 00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:41,500 It's a poor allocation of my time. 308 00:15:42,300 --> 00:15:45,000 In the time it takes to shoot X number of rifles, 309 00:15:45,100 --> 00:15:48,400 I can access ten or 20 or a hundred times that amount of data. 310 00:15:48,600 --> 00:15:49,200 No, no, no, no... 311 00:15:49,300 --> 00:15:51,900 there's data and there's hands-on experience. 312 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:53,300 These are two different beasts. 313 00:15:53,400 --> 00:15:55,600 That's why you've got blackboards and laboratories. 314 00:15:55,700 --> 00:15:56,600 You study the universe, 315 00:15:56,700 --> 00:15:58,200 and you've never been to outer space. 316 00:15:58,500 --> 00:16:00,300 Yeah, but if I had the opportunity, 317 00:16:00,800 --> 00:16:02,900 do you think for a moment I'd hesitate? 318 00:16:06,500 --> 00:16:07,700 ...in the wake of a fatal shooting yesterday, 319 00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:11,100 bringing the total to six victims the LA sniper has murdered. 320 00:16:11,400 --> 00:16:17,200 The LAPD and the FBI are urging residents to avoid unnecessary outdoor activity and to report any suspicious activity... 321 00:16:20,300 --> 00:16:21,900 Reminds me of snow days back home. 322 00:16:22,800 --> 00:16:25,700 School shuts down,everybody stays home. 323 00:16:26,300 --> 00:16:27,500 Except nobody's having any fun. 324 00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:29,100 Yeah. 325 00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:32,900 I called my ex-husband this morning. 326 00:16:35,500 --> 00:16:36,400 - Yeah? - Yeah. 327 00:16:37,700 --> 00:16:38,500 No real reason... 328 00:16:38,700 --> 00:16:39,500 the thought just occurred to me, 329 00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:41,800 what if I never got another chance to talk to him? 330 00:16:42,300 --> 00:16:42,800 How'd that go? 331 00:16:43,400 --> 00:16:44,400 We got in a fight. 332 00:16:49,900 --> 00:16:52,600 People have a greater chance of getting into a car accident, you know. 333 00:16:53,100 --> 00:16:53,900 That doesn't keep us home. 334 00:16:54,300 --> 00:16:57,400 Because it's a danger we've already assimilated into our daily lives. 335 00:16:58,000 --> 00:16:59,100 The sniper's something new. 336 00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:01,000 It's random, malicious. 337 00:17:01,700 --> 00:17:03,800 A bullet that can come from anywhere,take anyone, you know? 338 00:17:05,300 --> 00:17:06,500 - Wow. - Yeah. 339 00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:13,800 Thanks for bringing lunch all the way down here. 340 00:17:13,900 --> 00:17:14,700 - Come on, this way. - Oh. 341 00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:16,900 Well, you know,the drive was a pleasure. 342 00:17:17,900 --> 00:17:20,400 Traffic on the 10 has never been thinner since, uh, 343 00:17:20,600 --> 00:17:21,700 well,since it's been the 10. 344 00:17:21,900 --> 00:17:23,500 Yeah, it's like all L.A.'s in lockdown, huh? 345 00:17:23,600 --> 00:17:24,300 A little eerie. 346 00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:25,100 - Right in here. - Yeah. 347 00:17:26,700 --> 00:17:28,200 So, how, uh... 348 00:17:29,700 --> 00:17:31,000 how are you and Charlie managing this case? 349 00:17:32,500 --> 00:17:34,300 Well, I mean, he's frustrated; I'm frustrated. 350 00:17:34,800 --> 00:17:36,900 I mean, we're having a rough time on this. 351 00:17:37,700 --> 00:17:40,100 Is that why he's been running out of the house late at night? 352 00:17:40,800 --> 00:17:42,100 We got an agent on him all the time. 353 00:17:43,100 --> 00:17:44,600 I mean, I know he's been helping you out 354 00:17:44,700 --> 00:17:46,400 and that he comes down to your office a lot, 355 00:17:46,500 --> 00:17:48,000 and I-I think that's great. 356 00:17:48,100 --> 00:17:51,100 But... but now you got him going out on crime scenes... 357 00:17:51,200 --> 00:17:53,300 I mean, there's this guy shooting people out there. 358 00:17:53,500 --> 00:17:55,300 Dad, you really think I would put Charlie in danger? 359 00:17:55,900 --> 00:17:57,300 - No. You know what I really think? - What? 360 00:17:57,500 --> 00:18:00,400 I think you have to understand that Charlie can never say no to you. 361 00:18:01,100 --> 00:18:02,400 I mean... I mean, 362 00:18:02,500 --> 00:18:04,000 all you have to do is to ask him something, 363 00:18:04,100 --> 00:18:05,000 and he's there for you. 364 00:18:05,700 --> 00:18:06,900 Yeah, and I'm there for him. 365 00:18:09,100 --> 00:18:10,900 Look, he's not a cop. 366 00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:11,900 Now, come on, I mean, 367 00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:13,800 he's better off with chalk in his hand than a gun. 368 00:18:14,200 --> 00:18:15,100 You got to stop this; 369 00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:16,100 he is a grown man, 370 00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:16,800 and he's capable of... 371 00:18:16,900 --> 00:18:19,500 Who still seeks the approval of his older brother, 372 00:18:20,100 --> 00:18:21,700 whether his older brother likes it or not. 373 00:18:23,900 --> 00:18:24,600 Excuse me. 374 00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:26,100 Eppes. 375 00:18:27,900 --> 00:18:29,000 Yeah. Right. 376 00:18:29,100 --> 00:18:29,900 I'll meet you downstairs. 377 00:18:30,900 --> 00:18:31,400 Got to go. 378 00:18:31,500 --> 00:18:33,400 - Another shooting. - Oh, my God. 379 00:18:33,800 --> 00:18:35,700 Yeah. I promise I won't call Charlie till we roll the tanks out. 380 00:18:35,800 --> 00:18:38,000 And I want you to stay here until I call you, okay? 381 00:18:38,800 --> 00:18:40,000 All right, thanks for the sandwich. 382 00:18:45,400 --> 00:18:46,100 Thank you, Tom. 383 00:18:48,700 --> 00:18:51,300 John Doe, late 40s early 50s. 384 00:18:51,600 --> 00:18:52,800 Homeless,from the looks of it. 385 00:18:54,100 --> 00:18:54,800 No place to hide. 386 00:18:55,300 --> 00:18:56,700 Maybe he hadn't heard the news yet. 387 00:18:57,700 --> 00:18:59,700 This place is usually packed around this time of day. 388 00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:02,200 Well, the mailman murder,I wasn't impressed. 389 00:19:03,100 --> 00:19:04,000 This is one I am. 390 00:19:04,300 --> 00:19:04,800 Why? 391 00:19:05,900 --> 00:19:06,800 What you just said... 392 00:19:07,100 --> 00:19:08,100 the street is usually crowded, 393 00:19:08,200 --> 00:19:10,300 and yet with no one around he was able to conceal himself, 394 00:19:11,100 --> 00:19:13,100 get off a kill shot and then get out undetected. 395 00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:15,800 You know, Charlie and I disagreed 396 00:19:15,900 --> 00:19:17,900 about the proficiency of some of the shootings. 397 00:19:19,300 --> 00:19:21,000 I'm thinking now maybe I'm the one who was wrong. 398 00:19:30,900 --> 00:19:31,900 What are we looking at? 399 00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:36,100 A nonfunctioning algorithm based on seven sniper attacks, 400 00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:38,100 all presumably part of a pattern. 401 00:19:39,100 --> 00:19:40,400 But you can't find the pattern? 402 00:19:40,600 --> 00:19:41,800 I can't define the pattern; 403 00:19:42,100 --> 00:19:42,900 I know it's there. 404 00:19:44,300 --> 00:19:46,300 Shooting number four was a copycat. 405 00:19:47,500 --> 00:19:49,800 - The mailman killed by Wayne Osborne. - Right. 406 00:19:50,500 --> 00:19:52,100 I removed it from the calculation, 407 00:19:52,400 --> 00:19:54,500 which should have brought me closer to the answer. 408 00:19:55,100 --> 00:19:55,800 Well, it makes sense. 409 00:19:56,200 --> 00:19:58,100 Get rid of the corrupt data to improve the fit. 410 00:19:58,800 --> 00:20:00,900 But instead of improving the fit, 411 00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:04,000 it's as if the bad data were clarifying some new pattern. 412 00:20:05,700 --> 00:20:08,000 Which, by definition,wouldn't make it bad data. 413 00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:33,300 Here are the shootings, 414 00:20:33,700 --> 00:20:36,500 graphed according to a function of time method, 415 00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:38,600 victim and ballistic characteristics. 416 00:20:38,800 --> 00:20:40,300 Now, when I added dimensions... 417 00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:41,600 location,time of day... 418 00:20:41,900 --> 00:20:42,700 and took slices, 419 00:20:43,100 --> 00:20:44,800 the points remained truly random. 420 00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:50,100 However, when I eliminated dimensions and broke it down to a graph of a simple function of time... 421 00:20:51,700 --> 00:20:55,400 ...as you can see, the beginning of an exponential curve. 422 00:20:55,600 --> 00:20:57,400 The sniper attacks are increasing in frequency. 423 00:20:57,600 --> 00:20:59,500 The logical conclusion. Except... 424 00:21:01,300 --> 00:21:05,200 this... is Wayne Osborne shooting Mark Herlan, 425 00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:07,000 which we know is a copycat murder. 426 00:21:07,100 --> 00:21:08,800 So I took it out of my calculations. 427 00:21:08,900 --> 00:21:10,300 However, when I put it back in, 428 00:21:10,700 --> 00:21:11,800 it fell perfectly on the line. 429 00:21:11,900 --> 00:21:14,500 So that's either a stunning coincidence 430 00:21:14,900 --> 00:21:16,100 or evidence of a different pattern. 431 00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:20,300 I don't believe you have one serial sniper and one copycat. 432 00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:23,500 You have an epidemic of copycat snipers. 433 00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:25,600 Wait a minute, h-hold on. 434 00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:26,900 Uh, is that even possible? 435 00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:28,000 Viral behavior. 436 00:21:28,100 --> 00:21:30,500 Malcolm Gladwell's notion of a Tipping Point. 437 00:21:31,000 --> 00:21:32,400 Ideas and trends,what's in, 438 00:21:32,500 --> 00:21:33,000 what's not... 439 00:21:33,100 --> 00:21:35,200 it's really just human behavior spreading infectiously. 440 00:21:35,300 --> 00:21:36,200 Like a virus. 441 00:21:36,500 --> 00:21:37,800 Like a virus. That's right. 442 00:21:38,100 --> 00:21:41,200 Oh, consider a neighborhood where all the houses are painted white. 443 00:21:43,100 --> 00:21:46,100 And one day, one guy decides to paint his house blue. 444 00:21:47,500 --> 00:21:48,600 The next day his neighbor walks by, 445 00:21:48,700 --> 00:21:49,400 sees that color and says, 446 00:21:49,500 --> 00:21:50,400 "Hey, I like that color... 447 00:21:50,500 --> 00:21:51,500 I'm gonna paint my house blue. " 448 00:21:51,900 --> 00:21:54,800 And let's say that influences two more people each time. 449 00:21:55,100 --> 00:21:57,000 Now, even if people get sick of the color blue 450 00:21:57,100 --> 00:21:59,300 and decide to repaint their houses white, 451 00:21:59,500 --> 00:22:00,800 the blue trend will still grow. 452 00:22:01,900 --> 00:22:06,500 And now you have an epidemic of houses being painted blue faster than they're being repainted white. 453 00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:09,400 Wayne Osborne wants to kill his ex-wife's new fianc. 454 00:22:09,500 --> 00:22:11,200 Last week he would have stabbed him, 455 00:22:11,300 --> 00:22:13,000 he would have run him over with a car. 456 00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:14,600 Right, but he watches the news, 457 00:22:14,700 --> 00:22:17,200 sees that people are being killed with hunting rifles. 458 00:22:17,600 --> 00:22:19,100 And because the killers haven't been caught, 459 00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:20,300 he thinks it's a good idea. 460 00:22:20,900 --> 00:22:22,300 Each sniper attack is bigger news, 461 00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:23,400 influencing more people. 462 00:22:23,500 --> 00:22:25,300 Who all own hunting rifles, 463 00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:26,900 and just need something to go over the edge. 464 00:22:27,900 --> 00:22:30,400 Are you seriously comparing these shootings to what, 465 00:22:30,700 --> 00:22:31,700 some kind of fad? 466 00:22:31,800 --> 00:22:32,900 One that's growing. 467 00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:47,100 We got a whole new approach. 468 00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:48,600 We're not looking for one shooter, 469 00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:54,900 We're looking for seven different perpetrators that have committed seven different crimes 470 00:22:55,700 --> 00:22:57,700 They were not victims of a serial sniper, 471 00:22:58,000 --> 00:23:00,400 Instead one was a victim of gang conflict... 472 00:23:11,100 --> 00:23:12,500 ...the victim of a thrill killing... 473 00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:19,600 ...a neighbor killed because he didn't return a lawnmower... 474 00:23:28,900 --> 00:23:32,500 So we're issuing press releases explaining the separate arrests as isolated, 475 00:23:32,700 --> 00:23:35,800 distinct incidents that have nothing to do with a serial sniper. 476 00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:39,400 Hopefully, that'll cool people out and put things back to normal around here. 477 00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:42,100 What? 478 00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:44,200 Something's incomplete. 479 00:23:44,700 --> 00:23:45,200 Charlie, no. 480 00:23:45,300 --> 00:23:46,400 You just got to be patient, all right? 481 00:23:46,500 --> 00:23:47,700 I mean, between us and LAPD, 482 00:23:47,800 --> 00:23:49,900 we've already solved four of th-the seven cases. 483 00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:51,300 Make that four out of nine. 484 00:23:51,700 --> 00:23:54,900 Number eight was shot getting out of his car at a gas station in Glendale. 485 00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:56,900 Nine found in his own pool. 486 00:23:57,200 --> 00:23:58,500 Oh, come on. 487 00:23:58,600 --> 00:23:59,600 It's getting away from us. 488 00:23:59,900 --> 00:24:01,300 It's moving faster than we can even stop it. 489 00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:02,400 Your theory works. 490 00:24:02,500 --> 00:24:04,600 We're breaking the cases by attacking them individually. 491 00:24:04,700 --> 00:24:05,900 Let's just continue to do that. 492 00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:07,300 All we've established is that 493 00:24:07,500 --> 00:24:10,000 one person could not have committed all these crimes on the board, 494 00:24:10,100 --> 00:24:13,800 but that doesn't mean that some of these shootings weren't committed by the same hand. 495 00:24:14,100 --> 00:24:16,400 What? Now you're saying you think some of them were done by the same person? 496 00:24:16,500 --> 00:24:18,200 That's right, and as long as that killer's out there, 497 00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:20,300 you can solve as many of these shootings as you want, 498 00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:22,000 you're not gonna break the viral behavior. 499 00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:23,300 'Cause we really don't know which 500 00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:26,300 ones were definitively done by a serial sniper and which ones weren't? 501 00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:27,900 It's got to be the first two, 502 00:24:28,500 --> 00:24:30,500 because, well, because like any virus, 503 00:24:30,700 --> 00:24:31,800 there's always an initial carrier. 504 00:24:31,900 --> 00:24:32,700 A Sniper Zero. 505 00:24:33,300 --> 00:24:34,900 I need to learn how to shoot a rifle. 506 00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:40,000 - Look, just give me a second, would you? - Okay. 507 00:24:41,300 --> 00:24:42,700 - Y-you gotta teach me. - Why? 508 00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:44,000 Because of what Edgerton said? No, you don't. 509 00:24:44,100 --> 00:24:45,700 You don't have to prove yourself to anyone, okay? 510 00:24:45,800 --> 00:24:47,700 - Please, just do what you do. - It has nothing to do with that. 511 00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:48,700 I'm telling you, 512 00:24:48,900 --> 00:24:49,900 Edgerton was right. 513 00:24:50,100 --> 00:24:51,700 Well, he was a little right. 514 00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:53,400 Okay, the weight of the gun,the noise of the shot, 515 00:24:53,500 --> 00:24:54,700 the effects of the recoil... 516 00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:56,200 there's no way I have of understanding that 517 00:24:56,300 --> 00:24:58,400 - because I don't know what it is to shoot a gun. - Exactly, 518 00:24:58,500 --> 00:25:00,200 which is why I brought him in to begin with. 519 00:25:00,900 --> 00:25:01,900 Don't you see, man? 520 00:25:02,300 --> 00:25:04,700 I'm reducing these acts to abstract expressions, 521 00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:06,600 but I don't really know what I'm dealing with. 522 00:25:06,700 --> 00:25:09,800 I don't really understand anything about guns and violence, 523 00:25:09,900 --> 00:25:10,700 not the way you do. 524 00:25:13,100 --> 00:25:15,200 Edgerton said it was your job to get in the mind of a shooter. 525 00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:18,700 Well, maybe it's my job to understand his mechanics. 526 00:25:21,700 --> 00:25:22,100 All right, look, 527 00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:22,900 but you got to do me a favor 528 00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:24,400 and not say a word to Dad, okay? 529 00:25:24,500 --> 00:25:26,900 I mean, the guy already thinks I'm going to wind up getting you killed. 530 00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:31,600 Oh. The Ruy Lopez opening. 531 00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:34,400 I see I'm dealing with a classicist here. 532 00:25:34,700 --> 00:25:36,500 Look, I warned you I was a little rusty. 533 00:25:37,300 --> 00:25:39,300 My game is also a little undeveloped. 534 00:25:39,500 --> 00:25:41,800 You know,I had to stop playing with Charlie when he was eight years old. 535 00:25:42,300 --> 00:25:46,500 Yeah, more precociousness in the biography of Professor Charles Eppes. 536 00:25:47,100 --> 00:25:47,700 Yeah, you know, 537 00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:49,300 among mathematicians, 538 00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:51,000 isn't that just such a cliche 539 00:25:51,100 --> 00:25:53,100 - the playing chess? - I didn't mind losing. 540 00:25:53,500 --> 00:25:54,900 It was that bored expression on his face, 541 00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:56,300 like he was playing out of courtesy. 542 00:25:56,400 --> 00:25:57,300 That's what got to me. 543 00:25:57,500 --> 00:25:58,700 Oh, yeah? Well, try Scrabble. 544 00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:00,100 He's a horrible speller. 545 00:26:00,300 --> 00:26:01,700 - Really? - Oh, he's horrible. 546 00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:02,800 I didn't know that. 547 00:26:03,800 --> 00:26:05,100 You know quite a bit about my son. 548 00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:06,700 I don't know. 549 00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:08,800 I know he's been a delight. 550 00:26:09,300 --> 00:26:10,900 You know, observing him all these years. 551 00:26:11,500 --> 00:26:16,000 You know, a star pupil's ascension to such extraordinary heights... 552 00:26:16,100 --> 00:26:18,100 I mean, yeah, that's perhaps the most... 553 00:26:19,300 --> 00:26:21,200 rewarding aspect of being a teacher. 554 00:26:22,100 --> 00:26:24,900 Come on, we both know you've been a lot more than just a teacher to Charlie. 555 00:26:26,300 --> 00:26:28,300 Well, thank you for saying that. 556 00:26:29,700 --> 00:26:30,400 By the way, uh... 557 00:26:32,100 --> 00:26:32,900 you're now in check. 558 00:26:34,700 --> 00:26:36,400 Oh, you distracted me. 559 00:26:41,100 --> 00:26:41,800 You're flinching. 560 00:26:42,100 --> 00:26:42,800 You're closing your eyes, 561 00:26:42,900 --> 00:26:44,400 anticipating a loud noise. 562 00:26:45,600 --> 00:26:46,500 It's a loud noise. 563 00:26:46,700 --> 00:26:49,600 It's a perfectly natural physiological response to what I'm doing. 564 00:26:49,700 --> 00:26:51,200 Charlie, that's not gonna help you hit the target. 565 00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:55,900 Look, you fired the rifle. 566 00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:57,100 How about we get out of here? Come on. 567 00:26:57,300 --> 00:26:58,700 No. I need to learn this. 568 00:26:59,100 --> 00:26:59,600 Come on. 569 00:27:00,700 --> 00:27:01,700 All right, all right. 570 00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:03,700 We'll try what's called an empty-lung technique. 571 00:27:03,900 --> 00:27:06,100 You breathe naturally, you aim,but you don't fire. 572 00:27:06,700 --> 00:27:08,300 Okay? So line it up, aim. 573 00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:10,000 You're gonna exhale, 574 00:27:10,700 --> 00:27:12,400 and count to three before you inhale. 575 00:27:12,500 --> 00:27:14,200 On two, you squeeze the trigger. 576 00:27:14,300 --> 00:27:15,300 Right? Just like I told you. 577 00:27:15,400 --> 00:27:16,100 Just tease it. 578 00:27:27,800 --> 00:27:28,700 That's pretty good. 579 00:27:29,700 --> 00:27:30,700 - Look at that. - Yeah. 580 00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:32,400 Ah. Adrenal response. 581 00:27:32,500 --> 00:27:33,300 It's a paper target. 582 00:27:33,400 --> 00:27:34,800 It's a little different with a real person. 583 00:27:35,500 --> 00:27:36,700 Well, maybe not for Sniper Zero. 584 00:27:38,700 --> 00:27:40,000 That's a pretty good shot,though, isn't it? 585 00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:41,000 Not bad. 586 00:27:41,500 --> 00:27:42,800 I think you had a little beginner's luck there. 587 00:27:44,500 --> 00:27:45,900 Beginner's luck is non-empiric. 588 00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:47,000 It's counter-intuitive. 589 00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:48,500 Yeah? First time I played golf, 590 00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:50,500 I parred four on the front nine, so... 591 00:27:51,500 --> 00:27:53,300 That's just a function of the "regression to the mean. " 592 00:28:26,500 --> 00:28:28,700 have shown no exceptional amount of skill. 593 00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:30,400 There was one shooting that showed proficiency. 594 00:28:31,100 --> 00:28:31,600 The homeless guy. 595 00:28:31,700 --> 00:28:33,400 Yeah, but he was killed by the two frat boys. 596 00:28:33,500 --> 00:28:35,100 Working together gave them a clear advantage. 597 00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:37,900 Yeah, so that explains the increased skill level in that one case. 598 00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:38,600 Yet... 599 00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:42,400 Yet five of the shootings have resulted in a fatal wound from one single shot. 600 00:28:42,500 --> 00:28:43,600 How do you explain that? 601 00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:45,700 A little ability, a lot of luck. 602 00:28:46,100 --> 00:28:46,600 You know what? 603 00:28:47,100 --> 00:28:48,500 You're actually exactly right. 604 00:28:49,500 --> 00:28:50,400 I told Don. 605 00:28:50,500 --> 00:28:53,200 - It's called "regression to the mean. " - All right. 606 00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:55,700 I am an exceptional basketball player, 607 00:28:56,600 --> 00:28:58,600 but let's say for the sake of this argument 608 00:28:59,100 --> 00:28:59,600 that I'm, that I'm not. 609 00:29:00,100 --> 00:29:02,200 Yeah. I think I could argue that side a little better, Charlie. 610 00:29:03,500 --> 00:29:05,800 Let's say I can only hit half of my shots. 611 00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:06,800 I am... 612 00:29:08,300 --> 00:29:09,000 One for three. 613 00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:19,100 Ooh. 614 00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:20,700 Okay, I'm four for six. 615 00:29:21,000 --> 00:29:26,100 Right? I've went from a.333 average to a.666 average in three shots. 616 00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:28,700 Now, if I just kept shooting baskets all day long, 617 00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:31,800 eventually my hits and misses will average out to about.500. 618 00:29:32,300 --> 00:29:33,300 Right, we have hot and cold streaks, 619 00:29:33,400 --> 00:29:35,500 - but over time you're gonna find your level. - That's right. 620 00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:38,200 Now, if I plotted my shots on a graph, 621 00:29:38,600 --> 00:29:40,200 it would be a vertical graph. 622 00:29:41,500 --> 00:29:42,800 I plotted the shootings again, 623 00:29:43,100 --> 00:29:45,600 this time assigning scores to each shooting, 624 00:29:45,900 --> 00:29:48,900 based on the difficulty of each shot and its result. 625 00:30:00,700 --> 00:30:02,700 Four of the shootings rise above the others on the graph. 626 00:30:03,300 --> 00:30:05,200 Four people shot by the same man. 627 00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:09,000 So we just have to find the common denominator of all four and we find Sniper Zero. 628 00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:11,300 And we break the epidemic. 629 00:30:14,700 --> 00:30:16,500 Maybe you go to the same dry cleaners, 630 00:30:16,600 --> 00:30:17,800 use the same mechanic. 631 00:30:18,600 --> 00:30:19,100 No. 632 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:21,500 - None of them look familiar. - No? 633 00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:25,800 The news said this was just a random thing. 634 00:30:25,900 --> 00:30:26,900 That may very well be. 635 00:30:27,100 --> 00:30:29,100 We're just not leaving any possibility unexplored. 636 00:30:32,300 --> 00:30:34,800 Steve insisted on coming with me today. 637 00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:38,500 I think he's afraid to let me out of his sight. 638 00:30:42,300 --> 00:30:44,200 As bad as it's been for us, 639 00:30:45,100 --> 00:30:48,100 what it must be like for the families that lost someone. 640 00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:49,900 Yeah. 641 00:30:52,700 --> 00:30:53,300 Thanks for coming down. 642 00:30:59,700 --> 00:31:00,600 - Hey. - Hey. 643 00:31:01,700 --> 00:31:03,700 All four shootings happened in front of commercial locations, 644 00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:04,400 - right? - Right. 645 00:31:04,500 --> 00:31:05,800 Real estate office,gas station, 646 00:31:05,900 --> 00:31:07,000 grocery store,movie theater, 647 00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:09,700 so I'm searching employee lists,past and present. 648 00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:11,200 Okay. Any matches,let me know. 649 00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:12,400 You got anything? 650 00:31:12,500 --> 00:31:15,000 No, but I'm going to do a hand search for any common points. 651 00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:15,900 Good. 652 00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:21,200 What is it, Charlie? 653 00:31:23,900 --> 00:31:24,400 What are we missing? 654 00:31:25,700 --> 00:31:26,700 Something still isn't right. 655 00:31:27,100 --> 00:31:27,900 I can't figure it out. 656 00:31:33,800 --> 00:31:34,600 The photos. 657 00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:36,500 The photos? 658 00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:39,800 Yeah. These are all pictures of where the victim was hit. 659 00:31:40,300 --> 00:31:41,500 But that's not the whole scene right? 660 00:31:42,100 --> 00:31:44,000 The crime starts where the bullet was shot. 661 00:31:44,100 --> 00:31:46,300 Where are the pictures of the sniper's position? 662 00:31:46,400 --> 00:31:51,300 You're suggesting that the commonality is in the sniper's selection of his site rather than his target? 663 00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:52,100 Exactly. 664 00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:54,000 Yeah, I considered that, 665 00:31:55,100 --> 00:31:56,600 but if he is a trained sniper 666 00:31:56,700 --> 00:32:00,000 any site he chose would have to take into account the availability of targets as well. 667 00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:03,700 Meaning that I agree that each of these locations has good hide selections, 668 00:32:03,900 --> 00:32:06,000 adequate camouflage,excellent escape routes, 669 00:32:06,100 --> 00:32:09,300 but what good would that be unless he was assured of access to prey? 670 00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:12,300 The paths of the victim and shooter would have to intersect 671 00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:15,000 in both time and space within a suitable environment. 672 00:32:15,100 --> 00:32:16,000 I mean, the pace of these shootings, 673 00:32:16,100 --> 00:32:19,100 the scarcity of people on the street as a result of all this media coverage, 674 00:32:19,500 --> 00:32:21,800 he wouldn't have had time to accurately choose these sites 675 00:32:22,000 --> 00:32:24,300 and know that he had both cover and targets. 676 00:32:24,500 --> 00:32:27,500 Unless he was already familiar with the locations. 677 00:32:30,300 --> 00:32:30,900 Right? 678 00:32:31,100 --> 00:32:33,000 An abandoned building across from a movie theater, 679 00:32:33,700 --> 00:32:34,700 across from a restaurant, 680 00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:37,600 a gas station,and an empty house. 681 00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:40,300 So we're saying he doesn't know who he's going to shoot, 682 00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:42,500 but he does know where he's going to shoot from. 683 00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:43,700 The victims are random. 684 00:32:43,900 --> 00:32:45,400 It was his position that was pre-selected. 685 00:32:45,500 --> 00:32:48,200 That explains why my analyses haven't found 686 00:32:48,300 --> 00:32:50,600 any patterns in victim selection or location. 687 00:32:50,800 --> 00:32:52,700 We just found former employee Nathan Crane. 688 00:32:52,800 --> 00:32:55,200 He worked at both the gas station and the restaurant. 689 00:32:55,500 --> 00:32:57,000 Well, that's two sites. I'll take that. 690 00:33:04,700 --> 00:33:06,700 Mrs. Crane, do you know where we can find your son? 691 00:33:07,500 --> 00:33:08,500 No. 692 00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:10,900 Nathan and I haven't talked since I asked him to leave. 693 00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:11,900 That was a few weeks ago. 694 00:33:12,900 --> 00:33:14,000 Packed his van and left. 695 00:33:14,700 --> 00:33:15,900 - Is this him? - Yes. 696 00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:19,100 He was in the service until a year ago. 697 00:33:19,700 --> 00:33:20,600 Nathan loved the Army. 698 00:33:21,900 --> 00:33:22,700 Growing up without a father, 699 00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:25,900 he never had that kind of structure and discipline before. 700 00:33:26,500 --> 00:33:27,400 Do you know why he left the Army? 701 00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:29,300 He wasn't very specific. 702 00:33:29,400 --> 00:33:32,400 He just came home one day and said it didn't work out. 703 00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:36,000 You said that you asked Nathan to move out. 704 00:33:37,400 --> 00:33:39,300 He had a tough time holding down a job. 705 00:33:40,300 --> 00:33:41,200 He'd find something 706 00:33:41,300 --> 00:33:43,400 and there's a problem with the boss 707 00:33:43,500 --> 00:33:45,500 or a coworker and he quits. 708 00:33:48,100 --> 00:33:49,200 He had bad luck that way. 709 00:33:51,100 --> 00:33:52,200 And then there's my boyfriend. 710 00:33:53,300 --> 00:33:55,200 The two of them just couldn't get along. 711 00:33:56,800 --> 00:33:57,700 Even at my age, 712 00:33:58,100 --> 00:34:00,300 I'm entitled to have a life,aren't I? 713 00:34:02,900 --> 00:34:03,500 Yes, indeed. 714 00:34:25,900 --> 00:34:29,700 He applied for and was rejected from the Army Sniper School at Fort Benning. 715 00:34:30,000 --> 00:34:35,000 Subsequent Bad Conduct discharge for "inability to conform to the requirements of military life. " 716 00:34:35,300 --> 00:34:36,300 He's a good marksman, though. 717 00:34:37,200 --> 00:34:39,600 Crane did drywall in the building across from the movie theater. 718 00:34:39,800 --> 00:34:42,500 He was also fired from a landscaping company that worked the empty house. 719 00:34:42,600 --> 00:34:44,200 Okay, let's get an APB out on his van, 720 00:34:44,300 --> 00:34:45,300 and that photo to everybody 721 00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:47,400 - LAPD... Sheriff's Department... - I got it. 722 00:34:47,500 --> 00:34:49,300 Psychological profile fits like a glove; 723 00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:51,100 rejected by the Army,a surrogate father, 724 00:34:51,200 --> 00:34:53,100 returns home to be rejected by the mother. 725 00:34:53,400 --> 00:34:55,300 His instructor noted that he was impulsive on the range. 726 00:34:55,600 --> 00:34:56,200 Also fits. 727 00:34:56,300 --> 00:34:58,800 These killings are expressions of juvenile power fantasies. 728 00:34:58,900 --> 00:35:01,100 Okay, but why do you think he goes back to the job sites? 729 00:35:01,300 --> 00:35:02,700 He's revisiting the scenes of his failures 730 00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:04,600 and converting them to successes by killing. 731 00:35:04,900 --> 00:35:06,400 So you have any sense where he would go next? 732 00:35:06,600 --> 00:35:07,100 Well, so far, 733 00:35:07,200 --> 00:35:08,700 he hasn't visited the same site twice, 734 00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:11,300 either by guile or because he's "conquered" each one. 735 00:35:11,400 --> 00:35:11,900 My guess is, 736 00:35:12,000 --> 00:35:13,400 he'll move on to the next failed job 737 00:35:13,500 --> 00:35:14,300 and he'll move on quickly. 738 00:35:14,800 --> 00:35:16,000 From a pure sniping point of view, 739 00:35:16,100 --> 00:35:16,800 I like these two. 740 00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:18,700 All right, let's see. 741 00:35:20,200 --> 00:35:23,100 He was a janitor at the Banitek Tower... 742 00:35:24,700 --> 00:35:27,200 and a sheet metal punch at the Southmore factory. 743 00:35:27,500 --> 00:35:29,600 Easy access, high windows,target-rich environments. 744 00:35:29,700 --> 00:35:31,700 David, why don't you take Southmore, we're gonna take the office park. 745 00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:32,700 Notify LAPD. 746 00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:34,300 I want backup at both locations: 747 00:35:34,500 --> 00:35:36,600 marked cars, SWAT, air units... 748 00:35:36,900 --> 00:35:38,100 Helicopters? You trying to scare him away? 749 00:35:38,200 --> 00:35:40,000 No, we're just going to make sure he doesn't shoot anyone else, 750 00:35:40,100 --> 00:35:40,800 that's for sure. 751 00:36:00,800 --> 00:36:01,400 Don! 752 00:36:08,100 --> 00:36:09,000 Looks like it, huh? 753 00:36:09,500 --> 00:36:10,000 Yep. 754 00:36:11,100 --> 00:36:12,100 All right, you take the middle doors. 755 00:36:12,700 --> 00:36:13,400 Got it. 756 00:36:34,800 --> 00:36:35,400 That's it. 757 00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:36,600 Foxtrot One. 758 00:36:36,900 --> 00:36:37,800 Foxtrot One, go ahead. 759 00:36:38,100 --> 00:36:41,000 We got a postive I.D.on suspect's vehicle at Banitek Towers. 760 00:36:41,100 --> 00:36:43,700 Direct all units to Banitek Towers. 761 00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:44,400 Roger that. 762 00:36:46,500 --> 00:36:47,900 You know, we should start clearing people out of here. 763 00:36:48,000 --> 00:36:49,100 Let's just get everybody out. 764 00:36:49,600 --> 00:36:50,900 FBI Unit Foxtrot Two. 765 00:36:51,000 --> 00:36:52,500 Foxtrot Two,I copy your location. 766 00:36:52,600 --> 00:36:54,900 Banitek Towers. We have an air unit en route, 767 00:36:55,000 --> 00:36:56,500 ETA two minutes, over. 768 00:36:56,900 --> 00:36:59,400 We need to notify Security in the building to keep everyone inside. 769 00:36:59,500 --> 00:37:00,000 - Roger that. - Excuse me. 770 00:37:00,100 --> 00:37:01,800 We need you to get inside the building, please. 771 00:37:13,200 --> 00:37:14,500 Agent Eppes,Lieutenant Douglas. 772 00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:15,500 Your teams are where? 773 00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:17,200 Blue Team and Red Team are about eight minutes out, sir. 774 00:37:17,300 --> 00:37:18,100 All right, as soon at they get here, 775 00:37:18,200 --> 00:37:20,000 I want a team on each of these roofs, right? 776 00:37:20,100 --> 00:37:21,300 Right there,right there. 777 00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:22,900 - Roger that. I'll make it happen. - Pass these out. 778 00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:26,000 We're looking for a male white in his 20s, okay? 779 00:37:26,100 --> 00:37:27,400 I want you two to take this building. 780 00:37:27,500 --> 00:37:29,500 Start on the top floor and work your way down every apartment. 781 00:37:29,600 --> 00:37:31,000 You two, the same thing,this building. 782 00:37:31,500 --> 00:37:33,300 You start on the bottom of this one,work your way up. 783 00:37:33,400 --> 00:37:35,000 You on this one,work your way up. 784 00:38:20,400 --> 00:38:21,200 David Sinclair,yeah. 785 00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:37,600 Charlie, get down! 786 00:38:38,500 --> 00:38:39,600 - What? - Charlie, get down! 787 00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:42,300 Charlie, stay down! 788 00:38:57,300 --> 00:38:58,400 Get a team up there, now! 789 00:38:59,100 --> 00:38:59,700 Shooter is down. 790 00:38:59,800 --> 00:39:01,300 - Repeat! Shooter is down! - You all right? 791 00:39:01,800 --> 00:39:03,000 - Yeah. - The shooter's down. 792 00:39:03,100 --> 00:39:03,900 Is he okay? 793 00:39:04,500 --> 00:39:04,900 What, are you crazy? 794 00:39:05,000 --> 00:39:06,200 You could have got yourself killed. 795 00:39:06,900 --> 00:39:07,700 I was just... 796 00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:09,700 working on some probabilities as to where 797 00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:11,200 I thought Crane might position himself. 798 00:39:12,000 --> 00:39:13,000 Actually,he was pretty close. 799 00:39:14,500 --> 00:39:15,100 I want to get you out of here. 800 00:39:16,500 --> 00:39:18,100 - Are you all right? - I'm sorry. 801 00:39:18,500 --> 00:39:19,100 It's all right. 802 00:39:19,200 --> 00:39:20,500 It's just next time, use a phone. Okay? 803 00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:32,800 Hey, Dad,you're painting, huh? 804 00:39:33,500 --> 00:39:34,000 Staining. 805 00:39:34,900 --> 00:39:37,000 Your brother, the homeowner,it's his idea. 806 00:39:37,500 --> 00:39:41,100 Hey, look, I was thinking about what you said the other day when you came by for lunch. 807 00:39:42,800 --> 00:39:43,400 I think you're right. 808 00:39:44,800 --> 00:39:45,400 Wow. 809 00:39:46,600 --> 00:39:50,300 As delighted as I am to hear those words come out of the mouths of either of my sons 810 00:39:50,600 --> 00:39:52,200 the fact is I wasn't. 811 00:39:53,300 --> 00:39:54,300 Your brother's his own man. 812 00:39:55,000 --> 00:39:58,100 If Charlie wants to run off and do slightly dangerous things, 813 00:39:58,200 --> 00:40:00,700 then I'll just have to learn to live with it. 814 00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:02,400 Same as I did with you. 815 00:40:05,300 --> 00:40:05,800 You told him? 816 00:40:06,700 --> 00:40:07,900 Yeah, about the gun range. 817 00:40:08,500 --> 00:40:10,300 - The gun range. - That you shot a rifle. 818 00:40:10,400 --> 00:40:11,900 - He shot a rifle... did a great job. - Fired the rifle. 819 00:40:12,000 --> 00:40:14,300 Yeah. See?I'm perfectly fine. 820 00:40:14,400 --> 00:40:16,100 I didn't fall off the ladder, I didn't collapse. 821 00:40:16,700 --> 00:40:19,100 I certainly hope you got that out of your system now. 822 00:40:19,400 --> 00:40:20,100 Definitely. 823 00:40:20,700 --> 00:40:21,900 What color paint are you using? 824 00:40:22,100 --> 00:40:23,300 No, no, it's not paint. Stain. 825 00:40:23,900 --> 00:40:25,600 You can't paint a Craftsman house. 826 00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:27,200 See, they're historically protected. 827 00:40:27,900 --> 00:40:30,200 Well, even if everyone else paints their houses blue, Charlie? 828 00:40:31,300 --> 00:40:31,900 Not even. 829 00:40:34,600 --> 00:40:35,300 Here, I'll help you.