1
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We have an ID on this one?
2
00:01:13,300 --> 00:01:14,800
Mark Herlan, 39.
3
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A single medium-caliber rifle round to the chest.
4
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Any witnesses?
5
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Lady gardening,mom with her kid.
6
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Neither one heard the shot.
7
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I'm pulling some uniforms to canvass the neighborhood,
8
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to see if we can get a lock on where the shot came from.
9
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I don't think that's going to be necessary.
10
00:01:45,600 --> 00:01:46,200
These numbers...
11
00:01:46,300 --> 00:01:47,800
size of the wound,angle of entry,
12
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position of the body...
13
00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:51,400
they already tell you what you need to know.
14
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See, ballistic trajectories are fundamentally simple.
15
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They're the result of only two physical forces:
16
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vertical and horizontal velocity.
17
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Calculating trajectories with precision
18
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requires taking into account many variables:
19
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wind speed and direction,
20
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atmospheric pressure,temperature, humidity,
21
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inclination of gun,density of the projectile.
22
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So I've done some rough calculations of trajectory models based on the bullet's angle of impact,
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wind speed and direction.
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I approximate that our sniper fired from right around here.
25
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- This spot here. See?
- Uh-huh.
26
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Actually, it was more like here.
27
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Ah, Agent Edgerton.
28
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Bureau told you I was coming?
29
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Yeah. I'm the one who requested you.
30
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Thanks for coming.
31
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He's a sniper instructor from Quantico.
32
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Needed a different perspective.
33
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What makes you think he fired from your location?
34
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Well, your location assumes he's a good shot.
35
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I say he's just an okay shot who got lucky.
36
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What kind of empirical evidence are you basing that assumption on?
37
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300-yard plink,
38
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and he goes for center mass,torso shot.
39
00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:06,800
Good sniper bothers to get this close,
40
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it's to spread a man's brains across the sidewalk.
41
00:03:11,900 --> 00:03:13,100
Oh, yeah, and,uh,
42
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This waffling in the dirt?
43
00:03:19,700 --> 00:03:21,600
Right. Like he used something for support, right?
44
00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:23,700
Yeah, I'm thinking a duffel or his jacket.
45
00:03:24,900 --> 00:03:26,100
But yours was a good guess, too.
46
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Wasn't a guess;it was more of an estimate.
47
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Anything else?
48
00:03:29,500 --> 00:03:30,500
Yeah, he's gonna do it again.
49
00:03:32,700 --> 00:03:33,400
How do you know that?
50
00:03:34,400 --> 00:03:35,300
Thing about snipers?
51
00:03:35,900 --> 00:03:36,500
We love it.
52
00:03:37,600 --> 00:03:39,500
And that's not a guess, either;it's a fact.
53
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We all use math every day...
54
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to predict weather...
55
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to tell time...
56
00:03:53,400 --> 00:03:54,200
to handle money...
57
00:03:55,900 --> 00:03:58,400
Math is more than formulas and equations...
58
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It's logic...
59
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It's rationality...
60
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It's using your mind,
61
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to solve the biggest mysteries we know.
62
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Ok, let me have your attention please.
Listen up...
63
00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:24,100
LAPD is running a parallel task force with full information sharing.
64
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So no theory goes unchecked, right?
65
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No tip ignored.
66
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Four killings...
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What they have in common:
68
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single shots fired from mid-caliber rifles at a distance of 200 yards or greater.
69
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What they don't have in common are the victims.
70
00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:38,600
We have a real-estate broker,a housewife,
71
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a high school student and a mailman.
72
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Now the locations vary,
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the times of day vary.
74
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- Every...
- Ballistics confirms that the four bullets came from four different rifles.
75
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Four shots, four kills...
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00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:51,100
that kind of skill suggests a possible military background.
77
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What it suggests is that he knows his limitations enough to remain within them.
78
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This is Special Agent Edgerton from Quantico,
79
00:04:57,300 --> 00:05:00,100
and he doesn't think our shooter is especially skilled.
80
00:05:01,400 --> 00:05:04,800
Your housewife there caught a 7.62 x 39 round.
81
00:05:05,300 --> 00:05:08,900
He could've found a Russian SKS to do that job for less than a hundred bucks.
82
00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:11,400
Or maybe he's using a Blaser R93;
83
00:05:11,500 --> 00:05:15,000
that particular weapon has interchangeable barrels in 17 different calibers.
84
00:05:15,300 --> 00:05:16,900
So he could be swapping barrels after every kill,
85
00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:18,800
which would change the ballistic fingerprint, right?
86
00:05:19,300 --> 00:05:22,000
Be a pretty cheap way to avoid being linked to all of your murders.
87
00:05:22,500 --> 00:05:24,700
LAPD canvass turned up a FedEx driver.
88
00:05:24,900 --> 00:05:27,900
He remembers seeing a green Jeep parked in the field around the time of the shooting.
89
00:05:29,400 --> 00:05:31,500
Apparently there's large performance differentials
90
00:05:31,600 --> 00:05:34,700
between same-caliber bullets from different manufacturers.
91
00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:35,900
Based on what?
92
00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:38,900
Lead composition,gunpowder packing...
93
00:05:39,300 --> 00:05:40,800
Just what I need:more variables.
94
00:05:43,300 --> 00:05:44,000
Oh...
95
00:05:44,100 --> 00:05:48,000
Some assistance in my brazen attack on the Lorenz invariance?
96
00:05:48,200 --> 00:05:49,900
No, drag coefficient models.
97
00:05:50,200 --> 00:05:52,100
Drag co... drag on what?
98
00:05:52,800 --> 00:05:53,400
Bullets.
99
00:05:54,600 --> 00:05:57,900
Bullets as in ballistic trajectories defined by the Einstein Equivalence Principle,
100
00:05:58,000 --> 00:06:00,000
related to the Lorenz frame?
101
00:06:00,700 --> 00:06:03,100
As in, bullets that kill people.
102
00:06:03,400 --> 00:06:04,000
Oh.
103
00:06:04,300 --> 00:06:08,300
There seems to be some disagreements over the sniper's expertise.
104
00:06:08,900 --> 00:06:11,000
I'd say the public's decided on the question.
105
00:06:11,400 --> 00:06:13,300
I have an aunt who lives two blocks from the first shooting.
106
00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:15,100
She's afraid to go out on her front lawn now.
107
00:06:15,500 --> 00:06:19,500
Why don't you tell your aunt that statistically she has a better chance of being mauled by a bear.
108
00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:22,500
Actually,statistics would favor the bear being mauled by my aunt, but...
109
00:06:23,900 --> 00:06:27,000
This fear, this extends beyond the reach of statistics,Charles.
110
00:06:28,700 --> 00:06:32,600
No, this is about arbitrary,inescapable death.
111
00:06:33,500 --> 00:06:34,600
No, times like these,
112
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you just wind up speculating on paths not taken,
113
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jobs left undone.
114
00:06:40,300 --> 00:06:41,000
Larry, I...
115
00:06:41,800 --> 00:06:43,700
I'm trying to get those equations done for you
116
00:06:43,800 --> 00:06:44,900
- as soon as I can...
- No, no, no.
117
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At that moment,I was actually thinking of a far more prosaic legacy.
118
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Someone to carry on the Fleinhardt standard.
119
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I didn't know you wanted kids, Larry.
120
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Well... children are wormholes.
121
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Wormholes?
122
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Yeah.
123
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They're portals into the unreachable future and unattainable past.
124
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No, as things stand now,
125
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they exist only in the theoretical realm, so...
126
00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:18,900
Well, I can see where you might have some trouble selling a woman on the idea of "carrying your wormhole. "
127
00:07:22,500 --> 00:07:25,600
I accessed traffic cameras for a ten-block radius where the mailman got hit.
128
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- Good.
- Found this.
129
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Take a look.
130
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Jeep is registered to one Wayne Osborne.
131
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Rap sheet goes back to Idaho.
132
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Assault, drug possession,weapons violations.
133
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Yeah, check this out.
134
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Affiliations with the Green Lightning white supremacist group.
135
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They're on the ATF watch list for illegal arms dealings.
136
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Yeah, Mr. Osbourne sounds like a good candidate.
137
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FBI! Warrant!
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FBI!
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Hands on the table!
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FBI!
141
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Hands on the table!
142
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Clear!
143
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Clear back here.
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- Clear here!
- He's not here, Don.
145
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All right, where's Osborne?
146
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- Out.
- Out where?
147
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Some friends. I don't know.
148
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Look, let me tell you something.
149
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If you don't want to face the death penalty with your boyfriend,
150
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you better think harder and think fast.
151
00:08:11,500 --> 00:08:12,800
He took my pick-up about two hours ago.
152
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But I swear,I don't know where he went.
153
00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:16,400
- What color's the pick-up?
- It's blue.
154
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Get the plates.
155
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Notify LAPD and every agency.
156
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My guess is he's out there trolling for more victims.
157
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Don. Take a look.
158
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Oh, yeah.
159
00:08:40,200 --> 00:08:42,700
You know, Stan Carter's working for the LA Parks Department now.
160
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Oh, yeah,
I remember him.
161
00:08:43,900 --> 00:08:44,900
Stan. Stan the Man.
162
00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:47,200
He used to work with you on the city planning board, right?
163
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- Yeah.
- Yeah.
164
00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:50,200
He's looking for a part-time consultant.
165
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And since you two are in and out all the time,
166
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I figured I...
167
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Hold on a second.
168
00:08:56,700 --> 00:08:57,200
Hello?
169
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Okay.
170
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All right, yeah.
171
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I'll be right there.
172
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Sure.
173
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They're pretty sure it's the sniper again.
174
00:09:06,500 --> 00:09:08,600
David's picking me up out front on the way to the scene.
175
00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:10,100
The scene? What scene?
176
00:09:11,000 --> 00:09:11,800
You mean the crime scene?
177
00:09:13,300 --> 00:09:16,000
Exposure to actual events helps my statistical modeling.
178
00:09:16,100 --> 00:09:18,000
I know, but it's the exposure that I'm worried about.
179
00:09:18,500 --> 00:09:20,400
Come on, there's a crazy guy out there still shooting people.
180
00:09:20,500 --> 00:09:22,100
Now what if he returns to the scene of the crime,
181
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- you know, like those arsonists do?
- He hasn't.
182
00:09:24,300 --> 00:09:25,100
No, not yet.
183
00:09:25,700 --> 00:09:29,800
Dad, there are a dozen FBI agents and police officers at these scenes.
184
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I mean, if I were in any real danger,
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Don wouldn't let me go.
186
00:09:34,900 --> 00:09:35,600
You know that.
187
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Don't worry.
188
00:09:48,600 --> 00:09:51,000
Felt like someone hit me in the shoulder with a hammer.
189
00:09:51,500 --> 00:09:52,700
Then Steve saw the blood,
190
00:09:52,800 --> 00:09:54,300
and everyone started screaming.
191
00:09:54,800 --> 00:09:56,500
Neither one of you saw where the shot came from?
192
00:09:58,300 --> 00:10:00,600
Do you remember seeing a blue pick-up at any point?
193
00:10:01,000 --> 00:10:02,300
I'm sorry, I...
194
00:10:02,900 --> 00:10:05,300
There must have been 50 people coming out of the theater.
195
00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:07,200
- Why me?
- It's okay.
196
00:10:07,800 --> 00:10:08,400
You're going to be okay.
197
00:10:09,700 --> 00:10:10,200
Thank you.
198
00:10:12,900 --> 00:10:13,700
She's right.
199
00:10:13,900 --> 00:10:14,400
Why her?
200
00:10:15,900 --> 00:10:17,900
Maybe Osborne's playing out a power trip,
201
00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:19,800
choosing his victims arbitrarily.
202
00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:21,400
Maybe it's a political statement.
203
00:10:21,600 --> 00:10:24,600
No, domestic terrorism usually involves a public statement.
204
00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:26,300
He has been conspicuously silent.
205
00:10:26,400 --> 00:10:28,000
Yeah, I don't think he's gonna stay silent.
206
00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:28,900
Come on.
207
00:10:41,300 --> 00:10:42,200
Hello there, Professor.
208
00:10:42,900 --> 00:10:44,200
Still figuring the angles?
209
00:10:44,900 --> 00:10:46,800
What I'm figuring is the reason why he missed.
210
00:10:47,500 --> 00:10:49,200
This shot is way closer than any of the others.
211
00:10:50,500 --> 00:10:51,800
Well, closer doesn't mean easier.
212
00:10:51,900 --> 00:10:54,100
He ran a higher risk of being seen here.
213
00:10:54,500 --> 00:10:56,500
Well, that wouldn't affect the shot itself, though, would it?
214
00:10:59,100 --> 00:11:00,400
Forget about the math for a second.
215
00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:03,100
Just look.
216
00:11:09,900 --> 00:11:11,100
Try to think like he does.
217
00:11:12,000 --> 00:11:14,300
Invisibility is a sniper's greatest strength.
218
00:11:16,100 --> 00:11:17,600
If he starts to worry about losing it,
219
00:11:17,900 --> 00:11:19,100
his heart rate increases.
220
00:11:19,900 --> 00:11:21,000
If he doesn't know how to handle it,
221
00:11:21,700 --> 00:11:23,000
his breathing rhythm gets thrown off.
222
00:11:24,000 --> 00:11:24,700
Breathing rhythm?
223
00:11:28,000 --> 00:11:29,100
You've really never fired a gun?
224
00:11:32,400 --> 00:11:33,400
I don't really believe in them.
225
00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:35,400
Believe in them?It's not like they're ghosts.
226
00:11:35,700 --> 00:11:37,000
Obviously,that's not what I meant.
227
00:11:37,300 --> 00:11:43,000
So you don't take into account sweat getting into his eyes or his hands cramping up or adrenaline twitching the barrel?
228
00:11:44,900 --> 00:11:48,700
That's the difference between an expert marksman and a guy who aims at white meat and goes home with a wing.
229
00:11:48,800 --> 00:11:50,200
A woman got shot today...
230
00:11:51,300 --> 00:11:53,000
not some animal.
231
00:11:54,100 --> 00:11:57,100
I see. So when I regard her as a technical problem,
232
00:11:57,200 --> 00:11:57,900
I'm a sick bastard,
233
00:11:58,100 --> 00:11:59,100
but when you plug her in to an equation,
234
00:11:59,200 --> 00:12:00,000
you're a scientist?
235
00:12:00,100 --> 00:12:02,200
It just seems like it's all some kind of sport to you.
236
00:12:04,000 --> 00:12:06,500
It's my job to put my head inside the mind of a killer.
237
00:12:08,500 --> 00:12:09,200
Your brother's, too.
238
00:12:15,100 --> 00:12:15,800
You coming?
239
00:12:22,800 --> 00:12:25,200
The pattern of these shootings doesn't work with my existing equations.
240
00:12:25,300 --> 00:12:26,600
- So change the equations.
- You know,
241
00:12:26,700 --> 00:12:28,500
I'm starting to think my whole approach is wrong,
242
00:12:28,700 --> 00:12:29,700
like there's a design in there somewhere
243
00:12:29,800 --> 00:12:31,400
but not usually where we look for it.
244
00:12:34,800 --> 00:12:35,400
Hey.
245
00:12:36,600 --> 00:12:37,800
Don just picked up Osborne.
246
00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:39,400
- Where?
- Los Feliz.
247
00:12:39,700 --> 00:12:40,300
What about a weapon?
248
00:12:40,600 --> 00:12:43,300
Preliminary ballistics matches his rifle to the mailman's slaying.
249
00:12:44,500 --> 00:12:46,500
- Doesn't fit, though.
- What's wrong?
250
00:12:46,600 --> 00:12:48,500
Osborne spent the entire afternoon in a bar.
251
00:12:48,900 --> 00:12:49,500
A dozen witnesses.
252
00:12:50,000 --> 00:12:50,700
Well, that's not possible,
253
00:12:50,800 --> 00:12:53,200
because this happened, like,less than three hours ago.
254
00:12:53,300 --> 00:12:55,000
Unless Osborne isn't the shooter.
255
00:12:55,800 --> 00:12:56,800
We've got two snipers.
256
00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:10,900
I don't recognize the authority of the federal government.
257
00:13:11,000 --> 00:13:13,000
Well, the federal government sure recognizes you.
258
00:13:13,100 --> 00:13:15,000
We have you cold for the murder of Mark Herlan.
259
00:13:15,600 --> 00:13:18,200
Ballistics, tire tracks,foot molds.
260
00:13:18,300 --> 00:13:23,300
Herlan was a slave of the federal welfare system disguised as civil service.
261
00:13:23,600 --> 00:13:24,400
Whatever happened to him,
262
00:13:25,300 --> 00:13:26,700
whoever killed him,
263
00:13:27,200 --> 00:13:29,200
they were doing society a favor.
264
00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:31,900
The new girlfriend in your trailer filled us in.
265
00:13:32,300 --> 00:13:34,600
You shot Herlan because he was about to marry your ex.
266
00:13:34,700 --> 00:13:36,300
Don't... move.
267
00:13:36,900 --> 00:13:38,300
This was a personal killing for you.
268
00:13:38,600 --> 00:13:39,500
You wanted revenge.
269
00:13:40,200 --> 00:13:41,400
You know,it was almost clever.
270
00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:44,000
Your buddies in Green Lightning start a terror campaign,
271
00:13:44,100 --> 00:13:45,400
shooting people at random...
272
00:13:45,600 --> 00:13:46,700
you decide to piggyback.
273
00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:50,500
You think the Green Lightning is behind these shootings?
274
00:13:50,700 --> 00:13:52,100
When we start bringing your pals in,
275
00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:55,300
we think it's gonna be a race to see who can cut a deal the fastest.
276
00:13:55,800 --> 00:13:56,800
You're first man in, Wayne.
277
00:13:57,500 --> 00:13:59,300
My advice would be to take advantage of it.
278
00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:02,000
An act of terrorism carries a federal death penalty.
279
00:14:02,700 --> 00:14:04,300
Or maybe you haven't heard of Timothy McVeigh.
280
00:14:05,100 --> 00:14:07,700
You know... you people...
281
00:14:08,700 --> 00:14:11,100
you really have to start talking to each other.
282
00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:25,500
Osborne's been an ATF informant against his supremacist buddies for over six months.
283
00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:28,700
Well, thanks, ATF,for the information sharing,
284
00:14:28,800 --> 00:14:30,600
and there goes our conspiracy theory.
285
00:14:30,700 --> 00:14:32,400
He also has an alibi for every other shooting.
286
00:14:32,800 --> 00:14:33,400
I'll go tell Charlie.
287
00:14:33,700 --> 00:14:36,100
I mean, maybe he can find the pattern if he gets rid of the Osborne shooting.
288
00:14:41,700 --> 00:14:45,900
You know, I have had almost no attendance at my morning classes.
289
00:14:47,700 --> 00:14:49,800
It's like everyone's afraid to set foot outside.
290
00:14:50,600 --> 00:14:51,300
Not everybody.
291
00:14:53,100 --> 00:14:55,600
Yeah. In times like these,
292
00:14:57,100 --> 00:14:59,000
an empty house is not a home.
293
00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:06,700
Evaluating my immediate prospects for a conventional nuclear family,
294
00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:08,800
I've just now begun to consider adoption.
295
00:15:08,900 --> 00:15:11,700
- How long have you been considering it?
- Three days.
296
00:15:12,100 --> 00:15:13,100
Give it a few more days.
297
00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:15,700
- Yeah.
- Yeah.
298
00:15:17,100 --> 00:15:19,100
So what, you found a pattern yet?
299
00:15:20,100 --> 00:15:21,900
More like a pattern of patternlessness.
300
00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:24,400
Hey, there's an interesting metaphysical notion.
301
00:15:25,800 --> 00:15:29,100
Well, perhaps a human element remains to be inserted.
302
00:15:30,100 --> 00:15:31,400
You sound like this, uh,
303
00:15:32,100 --> 00:15:33,900
Agent Edgerton guy.
304
00:15:34,300 --> 00:15:36,800
He's a sniper instructor that Don brought in from Quantico...
305
00:15:36,900 --> 00:15:38,500
he thinks I should be out shooting rifles.
306
00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:39,700
Well, why aren't you?
307
00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:41,500
It's a poor allocation of my time.
308
00:15:42,300 --> 00:15:45,000
In the time it takes to shoot X number of rifles,
309
00:15:45,100 --> 00:15:48,400
I can access ten or 20 or a hundred times that amount of data.
310
00:15:48,600 --> 00:15:49,200
No, no, no, no...
311
00:15:49,300 --> 00:15:51,900
there's data and there's hands-on experience.
312
00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:53,300
These are two different beasts.
313
00:15:53,400 --> 00:15:55,600
That's why you've got blackboards and laboratories.
314
00:15:55,700 --> 00:15:56,600
You study the universe,
315
00:15:56,700 --> 00:15:58,200
and you've never been to outer space.
316
00:15:58,500 --> 00:16:00,300
Yeah, but if I had the opportunity,
317
00:16:00,800 --> 00:16:02,900
do you think for a moment I'd hesitate?
318
00:16:06,500 --> 00:16:07,700
...in the wake of a fatal shooting yesterday,
319
00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:11,100
bringing the total to six victims the LA sniper has murdered.
320
00:16:11,400 --> 00:16:17,200
The LAPD and the FBI are urging residents to avoid unnecessary outdoor activity and to report any suspicious activity...
321
00:16:20,300 --> 00:16:21,900
Reminds me of snow days back home.
322
00:16:22,800 --> 00:16:25,700
School shuts down,everybody stays home.
323
00:16:26,300 --> 00:16:27,500
Except nobody's having any fun.
324
00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:29,100
Yeah.
325
00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:32,900
I called my ex-husband this morning.
326
00:16:35,500 --> 00:16:36,400
- Yeah?
- Yeah.
327
00:16:37,700 --> 00:16:38,500
No real reason...
328
00:16:38,700 --> 00:16:39,500
the thought just occurred to me,
329
00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:41,800
what if I never got another chance to talk to him?
330
00:16:42,300 --> 00:16:42,800
How'd that go?
331
00:16:43,400 --> 00:16:44,400
We got in a fight.
332
00:16:49,900 --> 00:16:52,600
People have a greater chance of getting into a car accident, you know.
333
00:16:53,100 --> 00:16:53,900
That doesn't keep us home.
334
00:16:54,300 --> 00:16:57,400
Because it's a danger we've already assimilated into our daily lives.
335
00:16:58,000 --> 00:16:59,100
The sniper's something new.
336
00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:01,000
It's random, malicious.
337
00:17:01,700 --> 00:17:03,800
A bullet that can come from anywhere,take anyone, you know?
338
00:17:05,300 --> 00:17:06,500
- Wow.
- Yeah.
339
00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:13,800
Thanks for bringing lunch all the way down here.
340
00:17:13,900 --> 00:17:14,700
- Come on, this way.
- Oh.
341
00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:16,900
Well, you know,the drive was a pleasure.
342
00:17:17,900 --> 00:17:20,400
Traffic on the 10 has never been thinner since, uh,
343
00:17:20,600 --> 00:17:21,700
well,since it's been the 10.
344
00:17:21,900 --> 00:17:23,500
Yeah, it's like all L.A.'s in lockdown, huh?
345
00:17:23,600 --> 00:17:24,300
A little eerie.
346
00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:25,100
- Right in here.
- Yeah.
347
00:17:26,700 --> 00:17:28,200
So, how, uh...
348
00:17:29,700 --> 00:17:31,000
how are you and Charlie managing this case?
349
00:17:32,500 --> 00:17:34,300
Well, I mean, he's frustrated; I'm frustrated.
350
00:17:34,800 --> 00:17:36,900
I mean, we're having a rough time on this.
351
00:17:37,700 --> 00:17:40,100
Is that why he's been running out of the house late at night?
352
00:17:40,800 --> 00:17:42,100
We got an agent on him all the time.
353
00:17:43,100 --> 00:17:44,600
I mean, I know he's been helping you out
354
00:17:44,700 --> 00:17:46,400
and that he comes down to your office a lot,
355
00:17:46,500 --> 00:17:48,000
and I-I think that's great.
356
00:17:48,100 --> 00:17:51,100
But... but now you got him going out on crime scenes...
357
00:17:51,200 --> 00:17:53,300
I mean, there's this guy shooting people out there.
358
00:17:53,500 --> 00:17:55,300
Dad, you really think I would put Charlie in danger?
359
00:17:55,900 --> 00:17:57,300
- No. You know what I really think?
- What?
360
00:17:57,500 --> 00:18:00,400
I think you have to understand that Charlie can never say no to you.
361
00:18:01,100 --> 00:18:02,400
I mean... I mean,
362
00:18:02,500 --> 00:18:04,000
all you have to do is to ask him something,
363
00:18:04,100 --> 00:18:05,000
and he's there for you.
364
00:18:05,700 --> 00:18:06,900
Yeah, and I'm there for him.
365
00:18:09,100 --> 00:18:10,900
Look, he's not a cop.
366
00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:11,900
Now, come on, I mean,
367
00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:13,800
he's better off with chalk in his hand than a gun.
368
00:18:14,200 --> 00:18:15,100
You got to stop this;
369
00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:16,100
he is a grown man,
370
00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:16,800
and he's capable of...
371
00:18:16,900 --> 00:18:19,500
Who still seeks the approval of his older brother,
372
00:18:20,100 --> 00:18:21,700
whether his older brother likes it or not.
373
00:18:23,900 --> 00:18:24,600
Excuse me.
374
00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:26,100
Eppes.
375
00:18:27,900 --> 00:18:29,000
Yeah. Right.
376
00:18:29,100 --> 00:18:29,900
I'll meet you downstairs.
377
00:18:30,900 --> 00:18:31,400
Got to go.
378
00:18:31,500 --> 00:18:33,400
- Another shooting.
- Oh, my God.
379
00:18:33,800 --> 00:18:35,700
Yeah. I promise I won't call Charlie till we roll the tanks out.
380
00:18:35,800 --> 00:18:38,000
And I want you to stay here until I call you, okay?
381
00:18:38,800 --> 00:18:40,000
All right, thanks for the sandwich.
382
00:18:45,400 --> 00:18:46,100
Thank you, Tom.
383
00:18:48,700 --> 00:18:51,300
John Doe, late 40s early 50s.
384
00:18:51,600 --> 00:18:52,800
Homeless,from the looks of it.
385
00:18:54,100 --> 00:18:54,800
No place to hide.
386
00:18:55,300 --> 00:18:56,700
Maybe he hadn't heard the news yet.
387
00:18:57,700 --> 00:18:59,700
This place is usually packed around this time of day.
388
00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:02,200
Well, the mailman murder,I wasn't impressed.
389
00:19:03,100 --> 00:19:04,000
This is one I am.
390
00:19:04,300 --> 00:19:04,800
Why?
391
00:19:05,900 --> 00:19:06,800
What you just said...
392
00:19:07,100 --> 00:19:08,100
the street is usually crowded,
393
00:19:08,200 --> 00:19:10,300
and yet with no one around he was able to conceal himself,
394
00:19:11,100 --> 00:19:13,100
get off a kill shot and then get out undetected.
395
00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:15,800
You know, Charlie and I disagreed
396
00:19:15,900 --> 00:19:17,900
about the proficiency of some of the shootings.
397
00:19:19,300 --> 00:19:21,000
I'm thinking now maybe I'm the one who was wrong.
398
00:19:30,900 --> 00:19:31,900
What are we looking at?
399
00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:36,100
A nonfunctioning algorithm based on seven sniper attacks,
400
00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:38,100
all presumably part of a pattern.
401
00:19:39,100 --> 00:19:40,400
But you can't find the pattern?
402
00:19:40,600 --> 00:19:41,800
I can't define the pattern;
403
00:19:42,100 --> 00:19:42,900
I know it's there.
404
00:19:44,300 --> 00:19:46,300
Shooting number four was a copycat.
405
00:19:47,500 --> 00:19:49,800
- The mailman killed by Wayne Osborne.
- Right.
406
00:19:50,500 --> 00:19:52,100
I removed it from the calculation,
407
00:19:52,400 --> 00:19:54,500
which should have brought me closer to the answer.
408
00:19:55,100 --> 00:19:55,800
Well, it makes sense.
409
00:19:56,200 --> 00:19:58,100
Get rid of the corrupt data to improve the fit.
410
00:19:58,800 --> 00:20:00,900
But instead of improving the fit,
411
00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:04,000
it's as if the bad data were clarifying some new pattern.
412
00:20:05,700 --> 00:20:08,000
Which, by definition,wouldn't make it bad data.
413
00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:33,300
Here are the shootings,
414
00:20:33,700 --> 00:20:36,500
graphed according to a function of time method,
415
00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:38,600
victim and ballistic characteristics.
416
00:20:38,800 --> 00:20:40,300
Now, when I added dimensions...
417
00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:41,600
location,time of day...
418
00:20:41,900 --> 00:20:42,700
and took slices,
419
00:20:43,100 --> 00:20:44,800
the points remained truly random.
420
00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:50,100
However, when I eliminated dimensions and broke it down to a graph of a simple function of time...
421
00:20:51,700 --> 00:20:55,400
...as you can see, the beginning of an exponential curve.
422
00:20:55,600 --> 00:20:57,400
The sniper attacks are increasing in frequency.
423
00:20:57,600 --> 00:20:59,500
The logical conclusion. Except...
424
00:21:01,300 --> 00:21:05,200
this... is Wayne Osborne shooting Mark Herlan,
425
00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:07,000
which we know is a copycat murder.
426
00:21:07,100 --> 00:21:08,800
So I took it out of my calculations.
427
00:21:08,900 --> 00:21:10,300
However, when I put it back in,
428
00:21:10,700 --> 00:21:11,800
it fell perfectly on the line.
429
00:21:11,900 --> 00:21:14,500
So that's either a stunning coincidence
430
00:21:14,900 --> 00:21:16,100
or evidence of a different pattern.
431
00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:20,300
I don't believe you have one serial sniper and one copycat.
432
00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:23,500
You have an epidemic of copycat snipers.
433
00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:25,600
Wait a minute, h-hold on.
434
00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:26,900
Uh, is that even possible?
435
00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:28,000
Viral behavior.
436
00:21:28,100 --> 00:21:30,500
Malcolm Gladwell's notion of a Tipping Point.
437
00:21:31,000 --> 00:21:32,400
Ideas and trends,what's in,
438
00:21:32,500 --> 00:21:33,000
what's not...
439
00:21:33,100 --> 00:21:35,200
it's really just human behavior spreading infectiously.
440
00:21:35,300 --> 00:21:36,200
Like a virus.
441
00:21:36,500 --> 00:21:37,800
Like a virus. That's right.
442
00:21:38,100 --> 00:21:41,200
Oh, consider a neighborhood where all the houses are painted white.
443
00:21:43,100 --> 00:21:46,100
And one day, one guy decides to paint his house blue.
444
00:21:47,500 --> 00:21:48,600
The next day his neighbor walks by,
445
00:21:48,700 --> 00:21:49,400
sees that color and says,
446
00:21:49,500 --> 00:21:50,400
"Hey, I like that color...
447
00:21:50,500 --> 00:21:51,500
I'm gonna paint my house blue. "
448
00:21:51,900 --> 00:21:54,800
And let's say that influences two more people each time.
449
00:21:55,100 --> 00:21:57,000
Now, even if people get sick of the color blue
450
00:21:57,100 --> 00:21:59,300
and decide to repaint their houses white,
451
00:21:59,500 --> 00:22:00,800
the blue trend will still grow.
452
00:22:01,900 --> 00:22:06,500
And now you have an epidemic of houses being painted blue faster than they're being repainted white.
453
00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:09,400
Wayne Osborne wants to kill his ex-wife's new fianc.
454
00:22:09,500 --> 00:22:11,200
Last week he would have stabbed him,
455
00:22:11,300 --> 00:22:13,000
he would have run him over with a car.
456
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:14,600
Right, but he watches the news,
457
00:22:14,700 --> 00:22:17,200
sees that people are being killed with hunting rifles.
458
00:22:17,600 --> 00:22:19,100
And because the killers haven't been caught,
459
00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:20,300
he thinks it's a good idea.
460
00:22:20,900 --> 00:22:22,300
Each sniper attack is bigger news,
461
00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:23,400
influencing more people.
462
00:22:23,500 --> 00:22:25,300
Who all own hunting rifles,
463
00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:26,900
and just need something to go over the edge.
464
00:22:27,900 --> 00:22:30,400
Are you seriously comparing these shootings to what,
465
00:22:30,700 --> 00:22:31,700
some kind of fad?
466
00:22:31,800 --> 00:22:32,900
One that's growing.
467
00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:47,100
We got a whole new approach.
468
00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:48,600
We're not looking for one shooter,
469
00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:54,900
We're looking for seven different perpetrators
that have committed seven different crimes
470
00:22:55,700 --> 00:22:57,700
They were not victims of a serial sniper,
471
00:22:58,000 --> 00:23:00,400
Instead one was a victim of gang conflict...
472
00:23:11,100 --> 00:23:12,500
...the victim of a thrill killing...
473
00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:19,600
...a neighbor killed because he didn't return a lawnmower...
474
00:23:28,900 --> 00:23:32,500
So we're issuing press releases explaining the separate arrests as isolated,
475
00:23:32,700 --> 00:23:35,800
distinct incidents that have nothing to do with a serial sniper.
476
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:39,400
Hopefully, that'll cool people out and put things back to normal around here.
477
00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:42,100
What?
478
00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:44,200
Something's incomplete.
479
00:23:44,700 --> 00:23:45,200
Charlie, no.
480
00:23:45,300 --> 00:23:46,400
You just got to be patient, all right?
481
00:23:46,500 --> 00:23:47,700
I mean, between us and LAPD,
482
00:23:47,800 --> 00:23:49,900
we've already solved four of th-the seven cases.
483
00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:51,300
Make that four out of nine.
484
00:23:51,700 --> 00:23:54,900
Number eight was shot getting out of his car at a gas station in Glendale.
485
00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:56,900
Nine found in his own pool.
486
00:23:57,200 --> 00:23:58,500
Oh, come on.
487
00:23:58,600 --> 00:23:59,600
It's getting away from us.
488
00:23:59,900 --> 00:24:01,300
It's moving faster than we can even stop it.
489
00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:02,400
Your theory works.
490
00:24:02,500 --> 00:24:04,600
We're breaking the cases by attacking them individually.
491
00:24:04,700 --> 00:24:05,900
Let's just continue to do that.
492
00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:07,300
All we've established is that
493
00:24:07,500 --> 00:24:10,000
one person could not have committed all these crimes on the board,
494
00:24:10,100 --> 00:24:13,800
but that doesn't mean that some of these shootings weren't committed by the same hand.
495
00:24:14,100 --> 00:24:16,400
What? Now you're saying you think some of them were done by the same person?
496
00:24:16,500 --> 00:24:18,200
That's right, and as long as that killer's out there,
497
00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:20,300
you can solve as many of these shootings as you want,
498
00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:22,000
you're not gonna break the viral behavior.
499
00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:23,300
'Cause we really don't know which
500
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:26,300
ones were definitively done by a serial sniper and which ones weren't?
501
00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:27,900
It's got to be the first two,
502
00:24:28,500 --> 00:24:30,500
because, well, because like any virus,
503
00:24:30,700 --> 00:24:31,800
there's always an initial carrier.
504
00:24:31,900 --> 00:24:32,700
A Sniper Zero.
505
00:24:33,300 --> 00:24:34,900
I need to learn how to shoot a rifle.
506
00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:40,000
- Look, just give me a second, would you?
- Okay.
507
00:24:41,300 --> 00:24:42,700
- Y-you gotta teach me.
- Why?
508
00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:44,000
Because of what Edgerton said? No, you don't.
509
00:24:44,100 --> 00:24:45,700
You don't have to prove yourself to anyone, okay?
510
00:24:45,800 --> 00:24:47,700
- Please, just do what you do.
- It has nothing to do with that.
511
00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:48,700
I'm telling you,
512
00:24:48,900 --> 00:24:49,900
Edgerton was right.
513
00:24:50,100 --> 00:24:51,700
Well, he was a little right.
514
00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:53,400
Okay, the weight of the gun,the noise of the shot,
515
00:24:53,500 --> 00:24:54,700
the effects of the recoil...
516
00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:56,200
there's no way I have of understanding that
517
00:24:56,300 --> 00:24:58,400
- because I don't know what it is to shoot a gun.
- Exactly,
518
00:24:58,500 --> 00:25:00,200
which is why I brought him in to begin with.
519
00:25:00,900 --> 00:25:01,900
Don't you see, man?
520
00:25:02,300 --> 00:25:04,700
I'm reducing these acts to abstract expressions,
521
00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:06,600
but I don't really know what I'm dealing with.
522
00:25:06,700 --> 00:25:09,800
I don't really understand anything about guns and violence,
523
00:25:09,900 --> 00:25:10,700
not the way you do.
524
00:25:13,100 --> 00:25:15,200
Edgerton said it was your job to get in the mind of a shooter.
525
00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:18,700
Well, maybe it's my job to understand his mechanics.
526
00:25:21,700 --> 00:25:22,100
All right, look,
527
00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:22,900
but you got to do me a favor
528
00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:24,400
and not say a word to Dad, okay?
529
00:25:24,500 --> 00:25:26,900
I mean, the guy already thinks I'm going to wind up getting you killed.
530
00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:31,600
Oh. The Ruy Lopez opening.
531
00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:34,400
I see I'm dealing with a classicist here.
532
00:25:34,700 --> 00:25:36,500
Look, I warned you I was a little rusty.
533
00:25:37,300 --> 00:25:39,300
My game is also a little undeveloped.
534
00:25:39,500 --> 00:25:41,800
You know,I had to stop playing with Charlie when he was eight years old.
535
00:25:42,300 --> 00:25:46,500
Yeah, more precociousness in the biography of Professor Charles Eppes.
536
00:25:47,100 --> 00:25:47,700
Yeah, you know,
537
00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:49,300
among mathematicians,
538
00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:51,000
isn't that just such a cliche
539
00:25:51,100 --> 00:25:53,100
- the playing chess?
- I didn't mind losing.
540
00:25:53,500 --> 00:25:54,900
It was that bored expression on his face,
541
00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:56,300
like he was playing out of courtesy.
542
00:25:56,400 --> 00:25:57,300
That's what got to me.
543
00:25:57,500 --> 00:25:58,700
Oh, yeah? Well, try Scrabble.
544
00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:00,100
He's a horrible speller.
545
00:26:00,300 --> 00:26:01,700
- Really?
- Oh, he's horrible.
546
00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:02,800
I didn't know that.
547
00:26:03,800 --> 00:26:05,100
You know quite a bit about my son.
548
00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:06,700
I don't know.
549
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:08,800
I know he's been a delight.
550
00:26:09,300 --> 00:26:10,900
You know, observing him all these years.
551
00:26:11,500 --> 00:26:16,000
You know, a star pupil's ascension to such extraordinary heights...
552
00:26:16,100 --> 00:26:18,100
I mean, yeah, that's perhaps the most...
553
00:26:19,300 --> 00:26:21,200
rewarding aspect of being a teacher.
554
00:26:22,100 --> 00:26:24,900
Come on, we both know you've been a lot more than just a teacher to Charlie.
555
00:26:26,300 --> 00:26:28,300
Well, thank you for saying that.
556
00:26:29,700 --> 00:26:30,400
By the way, uh...
557
00:26:32,100 --> 00:26:32,900
you're now in check.
558
00:26:34,700 --> 00:26:36,400
Oh, you distracted me.
559
00:26:41,100 --> 00:26:41,800
You're flinching.
560
00:26:42,100 --> 00:26:42,800
You're closing your eyes,
561
00:26:42,900 --> 00:26:44,400
anticipating a loud noise.
562
00:26:45,600 --> 00:26:46,500
It's a loud noise.
563
00:26:46,700 --> 00:26:49,600
It's a perfectly natural physiological response to what I'm doing.
564
00:26:49,700 --> 00:26:51,200
Charlie, that's not gonna help you hit the target.
565
00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:55,900
Look, you fired the rifle.
566
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:57,100
How about we get out of here? Come on.
567
00:26:57,300 --> 00:26:58,700
No. I need to learn this.
568
00:26:59,100 --> 00:26:59,600
Come on.
569
00:27:00,700 --> 00:27:01,700
All right, all right.
570
00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:03,700
We'll try what's called an empty-lung technique.
571
00:27:03,900 --> 00:27:06,100
You breathe naturally, you aim,but you don't fire.
572
00:27:06,700 --> 00:27:08,300
Okay? So line it up, aim.
573
00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:10,000
You're gonna exhale,
574
00:27:10,700 --> 00:27:12,400
and count to three before you inhale.
575
00:27:12,500 --> 00:27:14,200
On two, you squeeze the trigger.
576
00:27:14,300 --> 00:27:15,300
Right? Just like I told you.
577
00:27:15,400 --> 00:27:16,100
Just tease it.
578
00:27:27,800 --> 00:27:28,700
That's pretty good.
579
00:27:29,700 --> 00:27:30,700
- Look at that.
- Yeah.
580
00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:32,400
Ah. Adrenal response.
581
00:27:32,500 --> 00:27:33,300
It's a paper target.
582
00:27:33,400 --> 00:27:34,800
It's a little different with a real person.
583
00:27:35,500 --> 00:27:36,700
Well, maybe not for Sniper Zero.
584
00:27:38,700 --> 00:27:40,000
That's a pretty good shot,though, isn't it?
585
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:41,000
Not bad.
586
00:27:41,500 --> 00:27:42,800
I think you had a little beginner's luck there.
587
00:27:44,500 --> 00:27:45,900
Beginner's luck is non-empiric.
588
00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:47,000
It's counter-intuitive.
589
00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:48,500
Yeah? First time I played golf,
590
00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:50,500
I parred four on the front nine, so...
591
00:27:51,500 --> 00:27:53,300
That's just a function of the "regression to the mean. "
592
00:28:26,500 --> 00:28:28,700
have shown no exceptional amount of skill.
593
00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:30,400
There was one shooting that showed proficiency.
594
00:28:31,100 --> 00:28:31,600
The homeless guy.
595
00:28:31,700 --> 00:28:33,400
Yeah, but he was killed by the two frat boys.
596
00:28:33,500 --> 00:28:35,100
Working together gave them a clear advantage.
597
00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:37,900
Yeah, so that explains the increased skill level in that one case.
598
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:38,600
Yet...
599
00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:42,400
Yet five of the shootings have resulted in a fatal wound from one single shot.
600
00:28:42,500 --> 00:28:43,600
How do you explain that?
601
00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:45,700
A little ability, a lot of luck.
602
00:28:46,100 --> 00:28:46,600
You know what?
603
00:28:47,100 --> 00:28:48,500
You're actually exactly right.
604
00:28:49,500 --> 00:28:50,400
I told Don.
605
00:28:50,500 --> 00:28:53,200
- It's called "regression to the mean. "
- All right.
606
00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:55,700
I am an exceptional basketball player,
607
00:28:56,600 --> 00:28:58,600
but let's say for the sake of this argument
608
00:28:59,100 --> 00:28:59,600
that I'm, that I'm not.
609
00:29:00,100 --> 00:29:02,200
Yeah. I think I could argue that side a little better, Charlie.
610
00:29:03,500 --> 00:29:05,800
Let's say I can only hit half of my shots.
611
00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:06,800
I am...
612
00:29:08,300 --> 00:29:09,000
One for three.
613
00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:19,100
Ooh.
614
00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:20,700
Okay, I'm four for six.
615
00:29:21,000 --> 00:29:26,100
Right? I've went from a.333 average to a.666 average in three shots.
616
00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:28,700
Now, if I just kept shooting baskets all day long,
617
00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:31,800
eventually my hits and misses will average out to about.500.
618
00:29:32,300 --> 00:29:33,300
Right, we have hot and cold streaks,
619
00:29:33,400 --> 00:29:35,500
- but over time you're gonna find your level.
- That's right.
620
00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:38,200
Now, if I plotted my shots on a graph,
621
00:29:38,600 --> 00:29:40,200
it would be a vertical graph.
622
00:29:41,500 --> 00:29:42,800
I plotted the shootings again,
623
00:29:43,100 --> 00:29:45,600
this time assigning scores to each shooting,
624
00:29:45,900 --> 00:29:48,900
based on the difficulty of each shot and its result.
625
00:30:00,700 --> 00:30:02,700
Four of the shootings rise above the others on the graph.
626
00:30:03,300 --> 00:30:05,200
Four people shot by the same man.
627
00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:09,000
So we just have to find the common denominator of all four and we find Sniper Zero.
628
00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:11,300
And we break the epidemic.
629
00:30:14,700 --> 00:30:16,500
Maybe you go to the same dry cleaners,
630
00:30:16,600 --> 00:30:17,800
use the same mechanic.
631
00:30:18,600 --> 00:30:19,100
No.
632
00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:21,500
- None of them look familiar.
- No?
633
00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:25,800
The news said this was just a random thing.
634
00:30:25,900 --> 00:30:26,900
That may very well be.
635
00:30:27,100 --> 00:30:29,100
We're just not leaving any possibility unexplored.
636
00:30:32,300 --> 00:30:34,800
Steve insisted on coming with me today.
637
00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:38,500
I think he's afraid to let me out of his sight.
638
00:30:42,300 --> 00:30:44,200
As bad as it's been for us,
639
00:30:45,100 --> 00:30:48,100
what it must be like for the families that lost someone.
640
00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:49,900
Yeah.
641
00:30:52,700 --> 00:30:53,300
Thanks for coming down.
642
00:30:59,700 --> 00:31:00,600
- Hey.
- Hey.
643
00:31:01,700 --> 00:31:03,700
All four shootings happened in front of commercial locations,
644
00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:04,400
- right?
- Right.
645
00:31:04,500 --> 00:31:05,800
Real estate office,gas station,
646
00:31:05,900 --> 00:31:07,000
grocery store,movie theater,
647
00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:09,700
so I'm searching employee lists,past and present.
648
00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:11,200
Okay. Any matches,let me know.
649
00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:12,400
You got anything?
650
00:31:12,500 --> 00:31:15,000
No, but I'm going to do a hand search for any common points.
651
00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:15,900
Good.
652
00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:21,200
What is it, Charlie?
653
00:31:23,900 --> 00:31:24,400
What are we missing?
654
00:31:25,700 --> 00:31:26,700
Something still isn't right.
655
00:31:27,100 --> 00:31:27,900
I can't figure it out.
656
00:31:33,800 --> 00:31:34,600
The photos.
657
00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:36,500
The photos?
658
00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:39,800
Yeah. These are all pictures of where the victim was hit.
659
00:31:40,300 --> 00:31:41,500
But that's not the whole scene right?
660
00:31:42,100 --> 00:31:44,000
The crime starts where the bullet was shot.
661
00:31:44,100 --> 00:31:46,300
Where are the pictures of the sniper's position?
662
00:31:46,400 --> 00:31:51,300
You're suggesting that the commonality is in the sniper's selection of his site rather than his target?
663
00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:52,100
Exactly.
664
00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:54,000
Yeah, I considered that,
665
00:31:55,100 --> 00:31:56,600
but if he is a trained sniper
666
00:31:56,700 --> 00:32:00,000
any site he chose would have to take into account the availability of targets as well.
667
00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:03,700
Meaning that I agree that each of these locations has good hide selections,
668
00:32:03,900 --> 00:32:06,000
adequate camouflage,excellent escape routes,
669
00:32:06,100 --> 00:32:09,300
but what good would that be unless he was assured of access to prey?
670
00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:12,300
The paths of the victim and shooter would have to intersect
671
00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:15,000
in both time and space within a suitable environment.
672
00:32:15,100 --> 00:32:16,000
I mean, the pace of these shootings,
673
00:32:16,100 --> 00:32:19,100
the scarcity of people on the street as a result of all this media coverage,
674
00:32:19,500 --> 00:32:21,800
he wouldn't have had time to accurately choose these sites
675
00:32:22,000 --> 00:32:24,300
and know that he had both cover and targets.
676
00:32:24,500 --> 00:32:27,500
Unless he was already familiar with the locations.
677
00:32:30,300 --> 00:32:30,900
Right?
678
00:32:31,100 --> 00:32:33,000
An abandoned building across from a movie theater,
679
00:32:33,700 --> 00:32:34,700
across from a restaurant,
680
00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:37,600
a gas station,and an empty house.
681
00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:40,300
So we're saying he doesn't know who he's going to shoot,
682
00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:42,500
but he does know where he's going to shoot from.
683
00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:43,700
The victims are random.
684
00:32:43,900 --> 00:32:45,400
It was his position that was pre-selected.
685
00:32:45,500 --> 00:32:48,200
That explains why my analyses haven't found
686
00:32:48,300 --> 00:32:50,600
any patterns in victim selection or location.
687
00:32:50,800 --> 00:32:52,700
We just found former employee Nathan Crane.
688
00:32:52,800 --> 00:32:55,200
He worked at both the gas station and the restaurant.
689
00:32:55,500 --> 00:32:57,000
Well, that's two sites. I'll take that.
690
00:33:04,700 --> 00:33:06,700
Mrs. Crane, do you know where we can find your son?
691
00:33:07,500 --> 00:33:08,500
No.
692
00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:10,900
Nathan and I haven't talked since I asked him to leave.
693
00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:11,900
That was a few weeks ago.
694
00:33:12,900 --> 00:33:14,000
Packed his van and left.
695
00:33:14,700 --> 00:33:15,900
- Is this him?
- Yes.
696
00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:19,100
He was in the service until a year ago.
697
00:33:19,700 --> 00:33:20,600
Nathan loved the Army.
698
00:33:21,900 --> 00:33:22,700
Growing up without a father,
699
00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:25,900
he never had that kind of structure and discipline before.
700
00:33:26,500 --> 00:33:27,400
Do you know why he left the Army?
701
00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:29,300
He wasn't very specific.
702
00:33:29,400 --> 00:33:32,400
He just came home one day and said it didn't work out.
703
00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:36,000
You said that you asked Nathan to move out.
704
00:33:37,400 --> 00:33:39,300
He had a tough time holding down a job.
705
00:33:40,300 --> 00:33:41,200
He'd find something
706
00:33:41,300 --> 00:33:43,400
and there's a problem with the boss
707
00:33:43,500 --> 00:33:45,500
or a coworker and he quits.
708
00:33:48,100 --> 00:33:49,200
He had bad luck that way.
709
00:33:51,100 --> 00:33:52,200
And then there's my boyfriend.
710
00:33:53,300 --> 00:33:55,200
The two of them just couldn't get along.
711
00:33:56,800 --> 00:33:57,700
Even at my age,
712
00:33:58,100 --> 00:34:00,300
I'm entitled to have a life,aren't I?
713
00:34:02,900 --> 00:34:03,500
Yes, indeed.
714
00:34:25,900 --> 00:34:29,700
He applied for and was rejected from the Army Sniper School at Fort Benning.
715
00:34:30,000 --> 00:34:35,000
Subsequent Bad Conduct discharge for "inability to conform to the requirements of military life. "
716
00:34:35,300 --> 00:34:36,300
He's a good marksman, though.
717
00:34:37,200 --> 00:34:39,600
Crane did drywall in the building across from the movie theater.
718
00:34:39,800 --> 00:34:42,500
He was also fired from a landscaping company that worked the empty house.
719
00:34:42,600 --> 00:34:44,200
Okay, let's get an APB out on his van,
720
00:34:44,300 --> 00:34:45,300
and that photo to everybody
721
00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:47,400
- LAPD... Sheriff's Department...
- I got it.
722
00:34:47,500 --> 00:34:49,300
Psychological profile fits like a glove;
723
00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:51,100
rejected by the Army,a surrogate father,
724
00:34:51,200 --> 00:34:53,100
returns home to be rejected by the mother.
725
00:34:53,400 --> 00:34:55,300
His instructor noted that he was impulsive on the range.
726
00:34:55,600 --> 00:34:56,200
Also fits.
727
00:34:56,300 --> 00:34:58,800
These killings are expressions of juvenile power fantasies.
728
00:34:58,900 --> 00:35:01,100
Okay, but why do you think he goes back to the job sites?
729
00:35:01,300 --> 00:35:02,700
He's revisiting the scenes of his failures
730
00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:04,600
and converting them to successes by killing.
731
00:35:04,900 --> 00:35:06,400
So you have any sense where he would go next?
732
00:35:06,600 --> 00:35:07,100
Well, so far,
733
00:35:07,200 --> 00:35:08,700
he hasn't visited the same site twice,
734
00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:11,300
either by guile or because he's "conquered" each one.
735
00:35:11,400 --> 00:35:11,900
My guess is,
736
00:35:12,000 --> 00:35:13,400
he'll move on to the next failed job
737
00:35:13,500 --> 00:35:14,300
and he'll move on quickly.
738
00:35:14,800 --> 00:35:16,000
From a pure sniping point of view,
739
00:35:16,100 --> 00:35:16,800
I like these two.
740
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:18,700
All right, let's see.
741
00:35:20,200 --> 00:35:23,100
He was a janitor at the Banitek Tower...
742
00:35:24,700 --> 00:35:27,200
and a sheet metal punch at the Southmore factory.
743
00:35:27,500 --> 00:35:29,600
Easy access, high windows,target-rich environments.
744
00:35:29,700 --> 00:35:31,700
David, why don't you take Southmore, we're gonna take the office park.
745
00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:32,700
Notify LAPD.
746
00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:34,300
I want backup at both locations:
747
00:35:34,500 --> 00:35:36,600
marked cars, SWAT, air units...
748
00:35:36,900 --> 00:35:38,100
Helicopters? You trying to scare him away?
749
00:35:38,200 --> 00:35:40,000
No, we're just going to make sure he doesn't shoot anyone else,
750
00:35:40,100 --> 00:35:40,800
that's for sure.
751
00:36:00,800 --> 00:36:01,400
Don!
752
00:36:08,100 --> 00:36:09,000
Looks like it, huh?
753
00:36:09,500 --> 00:36:10,000
Yep.
754
00:36:11,100 --> 00:36:12,100
All right, you take the middle doors.
755
00:36:12,700 --> 00:36:13,400
Got it.
756
00:36:34,800 --> 00:36:35,400
That's it.
757
00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:36,600
Foxtrot One.
758
00:36:36,900 --> 00:36:37,800
Foxtrot One, go ahead.
759
00:36:38,100 --> 00:36:41,000
We got a postive I.D.on suspect's vehicle at Banitek Towers.
760
00:36:41,100 --> 00:36:43,700
Direct all units to Banitek Towers.
761
00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:44,400
Roger that.
762
00:36:46,500 --> 00:36:47,900
You know, we should start clearing people out of here.
763
00:36:48,000 --> 00:36:49,100
Let's just get everybody out.
764
00:36:49,600 --> 00:36:50,900
FBI Unit Foxtrot Two.
765
00:36:51,000 --> 00:36:52,500
Foxtrot Two,I copy your location.
766
00:36:52,600 --> 00:36:54,900
Banitek Towers. We have an air unit en route,
767
00:36:55,000 --> 00:36:56,500
ETA two minutes, over.
768
00:36:56,900 --> 00:36:59,400
We need to notify Security in the building to keep everyone inside.
769
00:36:59,500 --> 00:37:00,000
- Roger that.
- Excuse me.
770
00:37:00,100 --> 00:37:01,800
We need you to get inside the building, please.
771
00:37:13,200 --> 00:37:14,500
Agent Eppes,Lieutenant Douglas.
772
00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:15,500
Your teams are where?
773
00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:17,200
Blue Team and Red Team are about eight minutes out, sir.
774
00:37:17,300 --> 00:37:18,100
All right, as soon at they get here,
775
00:37:18,200 --> 00:37:20,000
I want a team on each of these roofs, right?
776
00:37:20,100 --> 00:37:21,300
Right there,right there.
777
00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:22,900
- Roger that. I'll make it happen.
- Pass these out.
778
00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:26,000
We're looking for a male white in his 20s, okay?
779
00:37:26,100 --> 00:37:27,400
I want you two to take this building.
780
00:37:27,500 --> 00:37:29,500
Start on the top floor and work your way down every apartment.
781
00:37:29,600 --> 00:37:31,000
You two, the same thing,this building.
782
00:37:31,500 --> 00:37:33,300
You start on the bottom of this one,work your way up.
783
00:37:33,400 --> 00:37:35,000
You on this one,work your way up.
784
00:38:20,400 --> 00:38:21,200
David Sinclair,yeah.
785
00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:37,600
Charlie, get down!
786
00:38:38,500 --> 00:38:39,600
- What?
- Charlie, get down!
787
00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:42,300
Charlie, stay down!
788
00:38:57,300 --> 00:38:58,400
Get a team up there, now!
789
00:38:59,100 --> 00:38:59,700
Shooter is down.
790
00:38:59,800 --> 00:39:01,300
- Repeat! Shooter is down!
- You all right?
791
00:39:01,800 --> 00:39:03,000
- Yeah.
- The shooter's down.
792
00:39:03,100 --> 00:39:03,900
Is he okay?
793
00:39:04,500 --> 00:39:04,900
What, are you crazy?
794
00:39:05,000 --> 00:39:06,200
You could have got yourself killed.
795
00:39:06,900 --> 00:39:07,700
I was just...
796
00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:09,700
working on some probabilities as to where
797
00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:11,200
I thought Crane might position himself.
798
00:39:12,000 --> 00:39:13,000
Actually,he was pretty close.
799
00:39:14,500 --> 00:39:15,100
I want to get you out of here.
800
00:39:16,500 --> 00:39:18,100
- Are you all right?
- I'm sorry.
801
00:39:18,500 --> 00:39:19,100
It's all right.
802
00:39:19,200 --> 00:39:20,500
It's just next time, use a phone. Okay?
803
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:32,800
Hey, Dad,you're painting, huh?
804
00:39:33,500 --> 00:39:34,000
Staining.
805
00:39:34,900 --> 00:39:37,000
Your brother, the homeowner,it's his idea.
806
00:39:37,500 --> 00:39:41,100
Hey, look, I was thinking about what you said the other day when you came by for lunch.
807
00:39:42,800 --> 00:39:43,400
I think you're right.
808
00:39:44,800 --> 00:39:45,400
Wow.
809
00:39:46,600 --> 00:39:50,300
As delighted as I am to hear those words come out of the mouths of either of my sons
810
00:39:50,600 --> 00:39:52,200
the fact is I wasn't.
811
00:39:53,300 --> 00:39:54,300
Your brother's his own man.
812
00:39:55,000 --> 00:39:58,100
If Charlie wants to run off and do slightly dangerous things,
813
00:39:58,200 --> 00:40:00,700
then I'll just have to learn to live with it.
814
00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:02,400
Same as I did with you.
815
00:40:05,300 --> 00:40:05,800
You told him?
816
00:40:06,700 --> 00:40:07,900
Yeah, about the gun range.
817
00:40:08,500 --> 00:40:10,300
- The gun range.
- That you shot a rifle.
818
00:40:10,400 --> 00:40:11,900
- He shot a rifle... did a great job.
- Fired the rifle.
819
00:40:12,000 --> 00:40:14,300
Yeah. See?I'm perfectly fine.
820
00:40:14,400 --> 00:40:16,100
I didn't fall off the ladder, I didn't collapse.
821
00:40:16,700 --> 00:40:19,100
I certainly hope you got that out of your system now.
822
00:40:19,400 --> 00:40:20,100
Definitely.
823
00:40:20,700 --> 00:40:21,900
What color paint are you using?
824
00:40:22,100 --> 00:40:23,300
No, no, it's not paint. Stain.
825
00:40:23,900 --> 00:40:25,600
You can't paint a Craftsman house.
826
00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:27,200
See, they're historically protected.
827
00:40:27,900 --> 00:40:30,200
Well, even if everyone else paints their houses blue, Charlie?
828
00:40:31,300 --> 00:40:31,900
Not even.
829
00:40:34,600 --> 00:40:35,300
Here, I'll help you.